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The true intention behind ETH's sideways movement at high levels: Is it a continuation of the main rally or a trap to lure more buyers? This round of choices will determine the direction!
Current Price: 2327.46
From the overall structure, ETH has completed a very standard three-phase market cycle: bottom reversal → trend rally → high-level consolidation. It is currently in the most critical stage:
👉 High-level oscillation zone = direction selection zone
Next, let’s break down the three major cycles.
The daily structure is very clear:
Bottom at 1936 completes a phased bottoming Subsequently, continuous higher lows form an uptrend Highs reach 2416 before pulling back
Currently showing as:
👉 High-level sideways + upward structure maintained
But pay attention to two key points:
Highs have not made new highs Consecutive oscillating candlesticks appear
Indicates:
👉 Bulls are beginning to enter the “chip digestion phase”
Daily conclusion: Trend: Bullish remains State: Consolidation after rally
Key levels:
Support: 2250 / 2200 Resistance: 2400 / 2450
2. Four-hour level: structure oscillates, top pattern not formed but caution needed
The four-hour structure is more meaningful:
High: 2416 forms obvious resistance Pullback stops near 2250 Current rebound but no new high
Forming structure:
👉 High-level box oscillation (2250 - 2400)
This is a typical:
Bullish continuation or Early head formation
The key point is:
👉 Whether it can effectively break through 2400
Four-hour key signals: If volume breaks through 2400 → continuation of main rally If repeated failure to push higher → increased probability of weakening
3. One-hour level: short-term weakening, bears begin to probe
The one-hour structure has already shown detailed changes:
Highs gradually decreasing Rebound strength weakening Multiple attempts to push higher followed by pullbacks
Indicates:
👉 Short-term funds are starting to withdraw
Current rhythm:
👉 Oscillation leaning weak
One-hour key levels: Above: Resistance at 2350 Below: Support at 2280 4. Summary of core logic
Currently ETH is in:
Daily: consolidation within an uptrend Four-hour: range oscillation One-hour: short-term weakness
👉 In essence, one sentence:
The main trend is fine, but the short-term is adjusting
Prioritize two scenarios:
① Pullback to buy
Buy low in the 2250-2280 range
Stop-loss:
Below 2200
Target:
2350 → 2400
② Breakout chase
Volume breakout above 2400
Target:
2450 → 2500 2️⃣ Short position strategy (short-term)
Suitable for short-term trading:
Short at resistance in the 2350-2400 range
Stop-loss:
Above 2420
Target:
2280 → 2250 3️⃣ Most important current principle
❌ Avoid frequent operations in the 2300 middle zone ❌ Avoid emotional chasing of rallies
Must be alert to two signals:
1️⃣ Break below 2250
👉 May enter daily-level correction 👉 Target 2200 or even 2100
2️⃣ Multiple failed attempts to break 2400
👉 Forming a “false breakout structure” 👉 Easily triggers rapid decline
ETH is not weak now, but:
👉 Waiting for the next direction choice