I agree not to short in April, but not going long in May is too absolute; it's still about looking at the structure and macroeconomics.

Is it just my illusion that it feels a bit like a knockoff season? Recently, a batch of counterfeit coins suddenly emerged, not the kind of trash coins you've never heard of, but former star projects like Ordi, Bio, Sats, Blur, and so on. You should know that even in a bear market, there are dead-cat bounce行情, and the so-called four-year cycle doesn't mean a continuous four-year decline. Usually, before a wave of行情, there's a wave of knockoff躁动. Large funds won't rush to heavily buy mainstream coins right away, but will test the waters on some projects with large elasticity and small market caps. Now, small-cap knockoffs are collectively emerging, trading volume suddenly increases, and at least the market sentiment has been ignited. It all seems very fitting now. I feel like April might have a chance.

As the old saying goes, don't short in April, don't go long in May. What does everyone think?