April 15 Bitcoin Evening Analysis:

【Core Warning】
Clear high-risk signals have appeared in the market! The 1-hour and 4-hour double-cycle MACD are simultaneously showing a typical top divergence and death cross confirmation pattern, with the price surging to 76,009 to set a new high, but the MACD green histogram momentum has significantly shrunk and turned red, indicating that the bullish strength has been completely exhausted, and technical correction risks are fully unleashed. The current price is 74,240, and the short-term shift from strong to weak momentum is complete. The main strategy has been adjusted to a high-level counter-trend short position to play the correction, with support levels for low buy rebounds below. Blindly chasing highs is strictly prohibited!
✅ Shorting (Main strategy: double-cycle death cross hedging)
Entry 1 (Trend-following short): 74,400 - 74,700 range
• Logic: Relying on the 1-hour Bollinger upper band + previous high of 74,739 as double resistance, combined with the 1-hour/4-hour MACD death cross signals, directly enter short to capture the correction space after the main rally.
• Stop loss: Above 75,000 (only valid if the price firmly stays above this level, indicating the death cross is a false signal).
• Target: 73,800 (1-hour middle Bollinger band) → 73,500 (15-minute lower Bollinger band + recent oscillation center)
Entry 2 (Rebound short): 75,000 - 75,300 range
• Logic: If the market’s brief rebound is weak and stalls below the 4-hour Bollinger upper band, continuing the bearish rhythm.
• Stop loss: Above 75,600.
• Target: 74,200 → 73,600
✅ Long positions at low levels
Entry 1 (Precise support buy): 73,500 - 73,700 range
• Logic: This zone is the 1-hour Bollinger lower band + previous correction low double support, also the core defensive line of the bullish trend. After a correction stabilizes here, reverse to go long.
• Stop loss: Below 73,200 (a break indicates the 1-hour bullish trend is thoroughly broken).
• Target: 74,200 → 74,600
Entry 2 (Second confirmation of low buy): 73,000 - 73,200 range
• Logic: After extreme oversold conditions, a replenishment buy order is placed, waiting for bullish reversal signals such as bullish engulfing candles or volume increase.
• Stop loss: Below 72,700.
• Target: 73,800 → 74,400
#Gate13週年 #GatePreIPOs首發SpaceX #eth