Trade Review | 2026.04.10

1. Brief Overview of Market Structure
Current price 2191.764H level is in a oscillation phase after a pullback from the upper boundary of the large central zone, after reaching the high of 2273 and then falling back, currently trading sideways around 2190; on the 1H level, from the 2273 high, a top divergence downward move was completed, and the current phase is a rebound correction after a decline, without forming a new upward structure; on the 15F level, weakening simultaneously, from the 2273 high, a complete downward move was completed, currently in a rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears.
2. Multi-Timeframe Structure Analysis
1. 4-Hour Level (Major Trend Direction)
Structural characterization: A large-scale zone oscillation structure since the 2385.78 high, after a rally to 2273, entering a pullback phase along the upper boundary of the zone, overall still a large-scale oscillation, no trend reversal formed.
Key evolution: Price fell back from the 2273 high, testing support at 2190-2200, currently oscillating within the zone; if it cannot break through 2250 again, it will continue testing the lower boundary of the zone.
2. 1-Hour Level (Medium Cycle)
Structural characterization: From the 1936.54 low, the 1H upward move, with a clear top divergence at 2273, is now in a downward move after the upward move + rebound correction, with part of the downward momentum released, and the rebound strength is weak.
Key evolution: Corresponding to the high-level pullback on the 4H, the 1H is in a correction phase after the rise; if the rebound cannot break through 2220-2230, it will continue downward, testing support at 2160-2170.
3. 15-Minute Level (Small Cycle for Details)
Structural characterization: From the 2058.01 low, a strong upward move on the 15F, with a top divergence at 2273, then a complete downward move, currently in a secondary rebound phase after the decline, internal rebound within the 1H downward move, a continuation structure of the decline.
Key evolution: If the rebound cannot break through 2200-2210, it will continue the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170; if it breaks through strongly, it will trigger a bottom pattern on the 1H, starting a new upward move.
3. Key Resistance and Support Levels
Table: 4H 2230-2250 (previous high + zone upper boundary), 2150-2160 (previous zone upper boundary, support/resistance switch), 1H 2220-2230 (strong rebound resistance), 2160-2170 (target of 1H downward move), 15F 2200-2210 (first rebound resistance), 2170-2180 (support of 15F downward move)
4. Future Trend Scenarios
Strong continuation (low probability): 15F rebound strongly breaks 2230, driving 1H to form a bottom pattern, continuing the 4H upward move, challenging the previous high of 2273.
Strategy: Do not chase longs; wait for a pullback and stabilization before making decisions; avoid opening new short positions against the trend.
Normal correction (high probability): 15F rebound encounters resistance at 2200-2210, continuing the 1H downward move, testing support at 2160-2170, completing the correction before choosing a direction.
Strategy: Wait for the 1H downward move to complete and the bottom pattern to be confirmed before considering longs; if the rebound is weak, try short positions in the resistance zone of 2220-2230.
Deep correction (neutral probability): 1H downward move directly breaks below 2160, testing support at 2150-2160, confirming the continuation of the 4H high-level correction.
Strategy: Follow the trend for short positions, avoid bottom fishing, wait for the correction to be in place.
5. Trading Ideas and Discipline
Current position: do not chase longs, do not blindly open shorts: 1H is in a correction phase, 15F is in a rebound continuation, with no absolute advantage for bulls or bears, prioritize observation.
Short opportunities: wait for 15F rebound to 2220-2230 resistance zone, with top divergence + 1H structure resonance, then try short, with stop-loss above 2250.
Long opportunities: wait for 1H downward move to complete, bottom pattern to be confirmed, retest support at 2160-2170, then consider longs, with stop-loss below 2150.
Strictly follow trading discipline: max 2 trades per day, first loss triggers daily stop, avoid high-frequency and trial positions, only trade confirmed structures.
Risk control first: high leverage trading must strictly stop-loss, no holding through, no adding positions, prioritize capital protection.
6. Summary
The current market is in a structure of 4H high-level oscillation, 1H correction, and 15F rebound continuation, with fierce battle between bulls and bears, no absolute trend opportunity. Respect the market structure, do not stubbornly bet on longs or shorts, only take confirmed opportunities that fit your trading system, control your hands, manage position sizes, and strictly stop-loss—this is the key to long-term survival.
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