📊 Wolf Analysis 2026.04.10

Market Overview

24h Price Change

BTC $71,765 (+0.60%) 🟢

ETH $2,194 (+0.06%) 🟢

SOL $83.40 (+0.91%) 🟢

BNB $601 (-0.21%) 🔴

The overall market is slightly strengthening, with BTC/ETH volatility converging.

1h Trend: BTC from $71,482 to $71,765, trading volume increased from 340 BTC to 560 BTC, price center moved upward; ETH from $2,179 to $2,194; SOL from $82.95 to $83.40, continued strength; BNB from $599 to $601, relatively weaker.

15m Trend: BTC trading in the $71,765-$71,873 range, volume shrank to 19.5 BTC; ETH consolidating tightly around $2,194; SOL sideways at $83.35-$83.46; BNB at $601.29-$601.57. Overall volatility is very narrow, awaiting CPI data to guide direction.

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Market Drivers

① CPI data to be released tonight, market awaits with bated breath

CoinDesk: BTC consolidating before CPI release, volatility narrows to a key breakout point. Economists expect YoY CPI +2.9%, core CPI +3.2%. If data exceeds expectations, rate cut expectations will be further delayed, risking assets under pressure; if below, a rebound may be triggered.

② NYTIMES: Spot crude oil at $145/barrel! Strait of Hormuz actual navigation far from restored

NYTimes in-depth report: Despite futures Brent at about $97/barrel, spot crude oil is quoted at $145/barrel—reflecting extreme immediate supply tightness. No substantial progress in clearing mines in the Strait of Hormuz; vessel passage must coordinate with Iranian authorities. Supply shocks have not eased, high energy prices continue to suppress liquidity.

③ Trump encourages 401(k) allocations to crypto, strengthening long-term demand narrative for BTC

LATIMES: Trump publicly urges people to allocate their 401(k) retirement funds into cryptocurrencies and private equity. Hiltzik’s feature questions the risks of this advice but objectively reinforces the mainstream adoption narrative of cryptocurrencies.

④ Bittensor core developer departs, TAO token faces pressure

CoinDesk: Dramatic events related to Bittensor continue to unfold, with core developer leaving. K-line shows BTC sideways, while TAO and other AI concept tokens may show anomalies; watch for holding risks.

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⚠️ Risk Reminder

• CPI data to be released tonight, volatility may sharply increase, breakout may occur after data

• Huge spread between spot crude at $145/barrel and futures at $97/barrel reflects actual supply tightness far exceeding market pricing

• Core BTC range of $70,000-$72,500 has become extremely narrow, a breakout is imminent

• Trump’s public comments on allocations do not constitute investment advice, beware of risks

• Prioritize position management, reduce meaningless trades
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