The US and Iran have a two-week ceasefire, and oil prices have fallen, but Israel's move is too ruthless!

The US and Iran suddenly shake hands and make peace: a two-week ceasefire! The US is no longer fighting, and Iran is opening the Strait of Hormuz.
The stock market is smiling, oil prices are crying— but don’t celebrate too early.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu says publicly "supports the ceasefire," but then he leaves a big move: attacking Iran can stop, but attacking Hezbollah? Absolutely not!
Not only will they not stop, but they will also take South Lebanon by force.
This is not just talk; they are serious about taking action.
Who is Hezbollah? Iran’s closest brother outside the borders, the top ally of the "Resistance Fox."
Can Iran ignore it? Of course they want to intervene, but they just stopped fighting and have limited capacity.
In these two weeks, Iran will definitely do its best to give Hezbollah blood transfusions.
But what does Iran really want? It’s not just a two-week ceasefire; there are four conditions:
Comprehensive ceasefire, lifting sanctions, war reparations, and international guarantees.
The first three can be negotiated, but the last one is the key—only China can provide that guarantee.
Why? Only China can bring Gulf countries to the table; only China can get Europe involved; only China can put forward a real peace plan at the Security Council.
Without China’s approval, Iran will not accept any agreement.
The latest Pew poll reveals a big truth: China has already surpassed the US to become the most stable, most leadership-oriented, and most credible country globally.
Things are changing so fast—the world changes every year, and China has already reached that position.
So don’t be fooled by the “two-week ceasefire.”
The main battlefield has paused, but the supporting battlefield is about to ignite.
Israel is taking the opportunity to focus fire on Hezbollah, Iran is desperately protecting its allies, but the real game—outside the negotiation table, in Beijing.
One sentence: the US-Iran ceasefire is just a brief pause; China is the real trump card.