As a trader, my plan for the market in April 2026 will focus on a defensive recovery.

1. Macro Plan: Navigating the Volatility-Recovery Cycle “After the Halving”

We are currently in the second year after the 2024 halving, and the market has entered an institutional era. Based on the latest market conditions (BTC around the $65k-$74k range), April typically has a seasonal bullish bias, but because Q1 has already experienced a significant rally, I will be wary of the risk of a Q2 pullback.

• Positioning focus: Keep 50% in the core allocation (BTC/ETH), 30% allocated to narrative-driven sectors (such as AI+Web3 and DePIN), and the remaining 20% in cash to deal with extreme price spikes.
• Key watch item: The Bitcoin 2026 Conference at the end of April. This is often a peak point for market sentiment, so I’ll consider taking partial profits before and after the event.

2. Risk Mitigation: Three Lines of Defense

• Enter in batches on the left side; never go full position: Given the possibility that global inflation may rebound and bring renewed rate-hike expectations, I will never use leverage above 3x.
• Hard stop-losses and dynamic hedging: For altcoin positions, I will strictly enforce hard stop-losses of 10%-15%. If BTC breaks below the $60k key support, I will use options to hedge.
• Sentiment management: April is a month with heavy news flow (including events like the Paris Blockchain Week, etc.). I’ll filter out excessive noise on Twitter and only trade within the planned logic—no trading based on temporary emotions.

Core logic: 2026 is the year of institutional competition. “Survive” matters more than “double.” Protecting the profits from Q1 is the top priority for April.