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Analyst: "Physical reality" dominates the surge in oil prices; Trump's verbal intervention has little effect.
ME News message, March 31 (UTC+8). Energy market consulting firm FGE NexantECA said that if the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz caused by the Iran war continues over the next six to eight weeks, oil prices could spike to $150 per barrel and even $200 per barrel. The firm’s honorary chairman, Fereidun Fesharaki, said Tuesday: “If 100 million barrels of oil can’t pass each week, that means 400 million barrels can’t pass each month. Therefore, for a period of time, these losses the market suffers will be astronomical.” Fesharaki expressed skepticism about the effectiveness of Trump’s verbal intervention (including remarks about potentially ending the conflict), saying he believes the final driver of prices is the “physical reality” of supply disruptions. He said bluntly: “As long as the Strait of Hormuz is physically closed, prices will naturally rise. No matter what Trump says at the political level, it won’t help.” (Jin10) (Source: ODAILY)