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Today’s Two-Cake Strategy (Weekly)
1. Trend Judgment
The major timeframe is still in adjustment, but the 4-hour chart has already oversold and shows signs of a rebound. There is buying support at key levels below, so today is likely to see sideways movement and a rebound, making it suitable for short-term long positions.
2. Technical Basis for Going Long
• Daily Chart Structure
Price has fallen to the strong support zone of 2000–2030, with downward momentum weakening significantly; indicators are already in oversold territory, leaving limited room for further decline, and a technical rebound is needed.
• 4-Hour Chart (Main Reference)
Price stabilized around 2020–2040 with clear signs of capital entering.
MACD bearish momentum continues to weaken, about to form a golden cross, indicating bulls are gaining strength.
RSI is turning upward from oversold territory, signaling the start of a recovery in the weak market.
• Volume and Structure
Volume decreases as the price declines, indicating selling pressure has mostly exhausted; during rebounds, capital enters, and volume supports the move well.
A consolidation pattern has formed on smaller timeframes, with a high probability of an upward breakout.
Price is holding at the lower Bollinger Band, which is beginning to narrow, suggesting an imminent upward trend.
Two-Cake: Pullback to 1960 from 1980 for a northward move
First target: around 2020
Second target: around 2050 (cautiously)