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Is history repeating itself? During midterm election years, the US stock market and Bitcoin both decline again! $BTC $ETH $SIREN
Those who understand this pattern have already started to position themselves.
In 2026, it’s the midterm election year in the United States.
If you follow the markets, you’ll notice a strange phenomenon:
The S&P 500 has fallen 4%, and Bitcoin has dropped 21%.
This is no coincidence.
History is repeating itself.
Midterm election years bring the same old curse.
Looking back at history, you’ll find an almost certain pattern:
2018 (midterm election year):
S&P 500 ↓6%, Bitcoin ↓73%
2022 (midterm election year):
S&P 500 ↓19%, Bitcoin ↓64%
2026 (so far this year):
S&P 500 ↓4%, Bitcoin ↓21%
Every time, political uncertainty feels like a sword hanging overhead.
Investors aren’t afraid of the election itself, but of “not knowing what the outcome will be.”
But the real winners are waiting for a moment.
There’s another pattern in history that few people know:
Right after the midterm elections, the market tends to change its face.
After the last two midterm elections:
US stocks have averaged a 14% increase over the next 6 months.
Bitcoin has averaged a 54% increase over the next 6 months.
Why?
Because uncertainty disappears.
No matter who wins or loses, once the results are in, funds dare to move.
Will this year be different?
Some say it will.
Some say the AI bubble is about to burst.
Some say the Bitcoin bull market is over.
But history tells us:
Every time someone says “this time is different,” it ends up the same.
On November 3, 2026, voting will end.
On January 3, 2027, the new Congress will take office.
The months in between are the most familiar script for risk assets:
First, they crash, then they recover.
Is the current situation an opportunity or a trap?
The S&P 500 has fallen 4%, and Bitcoin has dropped 21%.
Compared to the declines during previous midterm election years, this year’s drop is relatively “gentle.”
But if you believe in history:
The current decline might just be a “ticket” for a big rebound.
Of course, no one can predict the bottom.
But one thing is certain:
In times of panic, only a few are positioning themselves.