Fannie Mae Makes a Major Move, ETH Hits Bottom at 2032 and Begins a Comeback!

1. News: The Compliance Door Fully Opens, Macro Game Enters Deadlock
1. Fannie Mae's "Century-Scale" Assist
Update: The U.S. mortgage giant Fannie Mae officially announces acceptance of cryptocurrencies (BTC and USDC) as collateral for home loans.
This is not just about buying a house; it marks the official entry of crypto assets into mainstream U.S. finance. This means the compliance and collateral value of mainstream assets like ETH have been endorsed by government-backed institutions, lifting the long-term consensus foundation once again.
2. The "Standoff" Between Geopolitics and Interest Rates
Update: Trump delays action against Iran’s energy facilities, causing oil prices to fall; meanwhile, the Bank of England and other major global central banks maintain a 3.75% high-interest rate expectation, delaying rate cuts.
Short-term risk aversion has eased due to "ceasefire expectations," boosting risk appetite; but the high-interest-rate environment continues to tighten global liquidity, limiting ETH’s upward momentum despite positive signals.
2. Technical Analysis: 30-Minute "Extreme Reversal" Battle
1. Oversold "Golden Pit" Recovery
Price experienced a rapid drop to 2032 and quickly rebounded.
Analysis: This move precisely took out leverage stop-loss orders around 2050. Currently, the price is oscillating near 2061, attempting to re-establish above the crocodile line’s lip.
2. Indicators’ "Last Stand" Rebound
TD Indicator: Recently completed a red TD9 sequence accompanied by a TD13 oversold exhaustion signal, now beginning a rebound.
KDJ/RSI: RSI has turned upward near the oversold zone at 20, and KDJ is forming a golden cross at low levels. This indicates short-term selling pressure is exhausted, and bulls are regaining control.
3. Key Resistance and Support Levels
Strong Support: 2030 - 2050
Short-term Resistance: 2100 (round number) and 2128 (MA120 line)
Specific Trading Suggestions
Entry: Around 2045-2060
Stop-loss: Below 2020 (placed below yesterday’s low)
First Target: 2128 (MA120 resistance)
Today’s strategy is simple: "Ignore oversold indicators, focus on shrinking volume." The dip to 2032 was deep, indicating big players are accumulating below. No need to rush today; wait until it stabilizes above 2065, then follow with a stop at 2020 for safety.
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