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Major Events in the Cryptocurrency World
1. After the Middle East situation escalated over the weekend, market risk appetite weakened, and funds clearly shifted into safe-haven assets such as gold and US Treasuries; this also prompted some investors to revisit Bitcoin's safe-haven attributes.
2. ETF capital flows have become the core of short-term pricing, with attention to ETF inflows and outflows.
3. This week features dense macroeconomic data, and risk assets need to watch out for "secondary volatility."
Analysis of Mainstream Asset Trends
Bitcoin is currently oscillating between 65,142 and 68,128, showing a trend of "rising sharply then pulling back and consolidating"; the retracement indicates short-term bullish momentum remains unstable. Key support levels: 65,100–65,000 (if broken, it may test lower regions), resistance levels: 68,100–68,800 (only a sustained rebound can extend the rally). Short-term strategy: focus on Bollinger band 1-hour interval trading; keep an eye on whether ETF net inflows continue—if not, expect consolidation and high risk in chasing highs.
Ethereum's oscillation range is 1,910–2,048; weaker than previous rebound highs, mainly following Bitcoin's retracement and consolidation. Key support zone: 1,880–1,910; resistance zone: 2,050–2,130. Short-term strategy: if Bitcoin holds above 65k, ETH is more suitable for short-term longs around 1,910; if it approaches 2,050, and Bitcoin drops below 65k, ETH's retracement could be larger, so strict stop-loss is essential.
Gold's core driver: escalation of Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven buying. The market generally expects gold prices to be more likely to rise than fall in the short term, but volatility can quickly expand with news. Focus points: if US employment/ISM data this week are strong, boosting the dollar and real interest rates, short-term pressure on gold may increase; conversely, if risk events continue to escalate, gold is more likely to maintain strength today.
Daily Trading Opportunities
Hold long positions and wait-and-see
#比特币避险属性
$BTC $ETH