At the start of the morning, everyone thought the market looked extremely weak and would break downward. Suddenly, a rapid v-shaped rebound came—then a jumpy, volatile range followed, with a shakeout. If you don’t get the short-term trading rhythm right, it’s pretty uncomfortable. But the direction for gold is still bearish; it keeps probing at low levels. Later on, if the downside breaks 3,970 and then the 3,950 historical lows, the subsequent trend will most likely break as well.

Said it the other day:
With a violent pump, even if it spikes to the top, it would only be around 4100; and the rebound high would also only be around 80. After the rebound, the downtrend 📉 has already started. All of these have perfectly played out.
Next, on July 17, 2026, I’ll share my thoughts/strategy. You can take reference for the trade 🤝.
The first chart is what I gave you when it pumped to around 4070 the other day—you can check it on the plaza.
Around 80 after the rebound is what I told internal subscribers.
Alright, no more talk.
2, 3, 4 are my views on the market next, and I hope

All life problems are, in essence, economic problems;
All economic problems are, in essence, cognitive problems;
All cognitive problems are, in essence, habit problems;
Change your habits—change your life!

🐋 WHALE WATCH :Institutional validation is happening faster than anyone realized.
T. Rowe Price just launched their actively managed multi token Crypto ETF ($TKNZ) with $15M in AUM.
The breakdown:
=> BTC: 41%
=> ETH: 18.4%
=> Big chunks in $SOL $BNB $XRP
They allocated a massive 6.5% of the portfolio straight into Hyperliquid ($HYPE). A TradFi giant with $1.8T+ AUM actively accumulating on chain perp liquidity.
Let that sink in. We arent in 2024 anymore.

#TSMCQ2NetProfitSurges77%
SUI/USDT Analysis: Is SUI Building the Foundation for the Next Generation of Web3?
The cryptocurrency market continues to evolve beyond speculation, with investors increasingly focusing on blockchain projects that offer real technological innovation and long-term utility. Among the emerging Layer-1 ecosystems, SUI has quickly established itself as one of the most promising networks thanks to its advanced architecture, high scalability, and rapidly growing developer community. As institutional capital and Web3 adoption continue to expand, SUI is becoming a project tha

#TSMCQ2NetProfitSurges77%
TSMC just had a record-breaking quarter. But the stock dropped. That’s the whole story.
Q2 net income was a record-breaking $706.6 billion Taiwan dollars (around $22 billion), up 77.4% from the same period last year.
Revenue increased to $1.27 trillion Taiwan dollars (around $40.2 billion), and gross margin stood at 67.7%. These figures all surpassed analysts’ estimates. On paper, it was a perfect quarter, but after hours, the market decided to sell it. This is because the market wasn’t evaluating the past, it was anticipating future costs.
The Beat Was Already Pr

What happened on the crypto market this night?
• Hyperliquid, after reaching 9.3% market share in perpetual open interest, sees its token fall below $60
• The CEO of Bank of America joins other Wall Street executives to warn about the speed and security risks of advanced AI models
• According to Politico, the text of the CLARITY Act is expected after a meeting with Trump, but Democratic senators announce they will not support it
• Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong abandons the fake CryptoPunks profile picture he had been using for years

Where is the last line of defense for DOGE bulls?
$DOGE /USDT - short SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 0.07203 – 0.07229
SL: 0.07340
TP1: 0.07123
TP2: 0.07061
TP3: 0.06969
Why focus on this structure?
On the 4-hour timeframe, the trend is clearly bearish. The 15-minute RSI is only 41.96, and momentum is weak. The current price of 0.07216 is near the EMA resistance zone. ATR is just 0.000515, indicating volatility is narrowing, which is suitable for betting on a short-term decline. Why now? Because a bearish signal with 95% confidence has been activated. TP1 is at 0.07123, and the risk-reward ratio i

TREASURY RACE RETURNS - WHY BALANCE SHEET BIDS STILL RULE BTC
Institutional balance sheets told a clear story this past week, even as price action looked calm.
WHO BOUGHT
Hyperscale Data disclosed July 12 that its BTC hoard hit 1,032.49 BTC, worth about $65.8M at $63,758 close. The firm added 130 BTC in the prior week alone. This is not a one off. The list of public firms adding BTC each week keeps growing, and each add removes float from spot market.
At the same time, ETF data gave a mixed view. BlackRock's crypto book was reported down 39% in value despite $15B in net inflows year to date, a

7.17 Midday Thoughts
After BTC surged into a peak, it then saw a steady drop all the way down—this is why the “Polaris” does this! The “Polaris” is firing hard, and it can’t be stopped!
From the 4-hour chart, it moved straight through the Bollinger Band middle line; support is like paper, easily broken. But at lower levels, we should avoid chasing the “Polaris”!
Big brother: short at 63,300 and 63,800 is under pressure; look for a drop to 62,000 and 61,000.
Second brother: short at 1,850 and 1,880 is under pressure; look for a drop to 1,780 and 1,720.
$BTC #PreIPOs第二期OpenAI认购 $GT

Technical Outlook: XRP Breaks Above Short-Term Resistance, but Major EMAs Still Cap the Broader Trend
XRP is attempting to build a recovery after defending the $1.06–$1.08 demand zone. Price has broken above its short-term descending trendline and is testing the 20 EMA, while consolidating above nearby support. However, XRP remains below the 50 EMA, 100 EMA, and 200 EMA, indicating the higher-timeframe trend is still bearish despite the recent rebound.
📈 EMA Structure (Early Bullish Recovery)
20 EMA: $1.1030
50 EMA: $1.1523
100 EMA: $1.2487
200 EMA: $1.4545
XRP is trading just below the 20 EM

7.17 THENA 思路 validation, following the trend forever won’t lose
$ETH
In the morning, I reviewed the market structure: the BTC short channel is fully opened, ETH has greater elasticity, any rebound will only be under pressure, and I directly set a short-selling plan at 1880.
The early-session high rebounded to around 1870, then it kept dropping all the way to 1821; all the target zones I locked in reached as planned.
There are no ups or downs in the market without reason. The moving averages, volume, and the overall correlation were broken down clearly in advance. Don’t guess the bottom, don

【2026 Final Prediction Post】Just for fun with pictures only—win or lose, you’re responsible
Honestly, I wanted Spain to win. Their build-up and possession play are comfortable to watch, and the players look good too. But when it comes to betting, you can’t act like money is something you can’t get along with. This tournament’s referees are basically all on Messi’s side—“Hand of God” reached from 1986 all the way to now. By 2026, it’s evolved straight into the “Hand of God’s Sleeve.” Who dares to argue?
So for the championship, I’m still betting on Argentina. Their three-peat defense is basical

$XAUT , $XAU, and $SNDK —these high-priced levels may need to be approached with caution; they could be suitable targets to consider shorting. Is it really that some brothers are taking over at the mountaintop for these? Chasing at this point carries an unacceptably high risk of getting trapped. Keep an eye on the order book, don’t chase too aggressively, and watch out for the risk of a pullback at high levels.

$SNDK 4H
Up to now, the take-profit position has been reached in the short-side stage
Second take-profit
The rest is up to fate
Hold the position for 2 weeks
Patience makes me money

SLX Short Alert: 4H EMA bearish crossover confirmed, RSI breaks below 35!

$SLX /USDT - SHORT

Trade plan:
Entry: 0.11540 – 0.11716
SL: 0.12471
TP1: 0.10996
TP2: 0.10575
TP3: 0.09943

Why pay attention to this setup?
- The 4-hour timeframe short signal is activated; the 15-minute RSI has already fallen to 35.26, and selling pressure remains.
- Key resistance 0.11628 is being suppressed; the probability of a short-term rebound is low, and there’s plenty of downside room for TP1/TP2 (0.10996→0.10575).
- Why now? Within the 1D consolidation range, short momentum has just kicked off, and th

JUST IN: Xi says AI enters an unprecedented innovation era and calls for open, inclusive, open-source collaboration and global governance; signals potential policy-friendly stance for cross-border AI development. $AI (if applicable)

#WarshSaysFedDecidesIfAIInflation
Will AI Drive Inflation? Inside Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh's Core Analysis 📊🤖
In the midst of the massive AI revolution, a critical economic debate has emerged: **Will Artificial Intelligence ultimately prove to be inflationary or deflationary for the global economy?**
At the center of this discussion is **Kevin Warsh**, former Governor of the US Federal Reserve. His recent insights have caught the attention of global policymakers and investors alike. His central thesis is clear: **"Whether AI drives inflation or not is ultimately up to the Federal Res