Probability of Bitcoin dropping to $50k increasing? Don't just stare at the numbers—the market is really watching these three signals!
Recently, some institutions have predicted that the probability of Bitcoin hitting near $50k this year has increased, sparking discussion among many investors. Some are nervous, some are calm, and others joke, "Predictions change every day, but Bitcoin still runs every day."
In fact, probability forecasts reflect market expectations, not certain outcomes. The capital market is influenced by multiple factors such as macroeconomics, liquidity, institutional funds

A-shares crashed mercilessly, showing no mercy to anyone🤡
The CSI Dividend index has already fallen to an attractive valuation

$AAVE is approaching a short-term decision point.
Price is testing resistance around $91-$91.20, where sellers have stepped in multiple times. Bulls need a clean break and close above this zone to regain momentum.
If this rejection continues, I expect a pullback toward the $90.40-$90.50 support area. Losing that level could invite further downside in the short term.
For now, I'm not chasing. I'd rather wait for either a confirmed breakout above resistance or a dip into support for a better risk to reward entry.
Patience pays more than FOMO.
#TradFiCFDGoldMasters

To be honest, this chart really tests your patience. 🚨📉 A few days ago in the afternoon, $GUA was still faking strength at highs. Many people saw the bounce and wanted to jump in, but I saw that there was no one buying on the way up, the rebound was weak, and once volume dried up, trouble was bound to happen.
While everyone was still watching, I focused on the details of GUA. Several upward attempts fell just short—the 👀 resistance wasn't broken, and buying pressure wasn't strong enough. At that level, I was leaning bearish, so I opened a short near 0.3186.
Now the price is at 0.19057, wit

That drop really made the rhythm clear! 📉🔥
A few days ago before bed, I saw $VIRTUAL still holding strong at a high level. On the surface, it didn't look weak, but the more I looked, the flimsier it seemed. The upward move had no volume, and when it surged up, no one was buying. Once resistance hit, it softened. I didn't want to chase longs in this kind of market, but instead focused on shorts cashing out.
Before the market had fully moved, VIRTUAL was grinding around 0.7319. I saw weak demand, and the bounce had no strength. At that point, I suggested handling it with a short entry mindset

The last look before bed was still grinding, woke up to a direct takeoff! 🚀 This wave $BASED was really not a waste of waiting. A few days ago in the afternoon it was so slow it made you want to close the chart, then in the morning when I opened the chart it directly gave the answer 📢
When everyone was still watching, I wasn't looking at how fast it rose, but whether BASED held at a low level without breaking. Around 0.0685 it was repeatedly washed, retraced and held steady, buy orders became active, selling pressure eased, and the rhythm had a feel to it 👀
Not afraid of it grinding, afrai

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1545 area - 1525 area, stop loss 1480
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Don't mention it, today's shorts are really fierce! 📉😎
A few days ago in the early morning when I was watching $CHZ , it was still slowly grinding at a high level. Many people thought it looked like it would continue to surge, but what I saw was that volume didn't keep up, support was weak, and there was constant resistance above.
The last look before bed, CHZ still surged and then went limp. The price made a fuss, but the funds didn't show attitude. 👀
So at that time I didn't chase the rise, but instead opened a short near 0.04862, waiting for the price to fall after pressure at highs.
Now

Market Analysis: $BTC (2026-6-30)
The daily level analysis conclusion remains unchanged. For the larger time frame, you can refer to my yesterday's daily level analysis. For medium-to-long term, if there is no high-volume decline directly breaking to new lows, then temporarily do not short～
Because the bottom of the 4-hour level is constantly rising, trading volume is also slowly increasing, and funds are accumulating at this price level, increasing the probability of a rebound📈
Trading Strategy: Directly give a short-term operation order today
You can go long at market price, that is, near 5

• BTC: Repeatedly battling around the $60k mark, hitting a daily high of $60,729, currently oscillating near $60,300, with fierce long-short competition ahead of the month-end close.
• ETH: Stabilizing above $1,570, the Fear and Greed Index has fallen to 12 (Extreme Fear), hitting a new low for this cycle.
📰 Macro and Politics
• US-Iran Situation: Both sides have agreed to stop attacking each other and plan to meet in Qatar this week, easing geopolitical risk aversion.
• Regulatory Crackdown: The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) released its annual report, warning that stablecoins thr

$aigensyn
It's too late, really too late
I haven't even figured out what this is and it's already flown away...

This smash immediately sobered up the market! 📉🔥 A few days ago before bed, I was watching $ARB , it was still oscillating at highs, seemingly holding up, but in reality the upward momentum had no volume, support wasn't strong, and every time it pushed up, it was pressed back.
When the market hadn't fully started yet, I saw clear resistance above ARB, the rebound was getting weaker, so I reminded from a bearish perspective not to be led by fake pumps, shorting was easier 👀🎯
Now from 0.12099 to 0.07592, this wave's yield is +2137.28%, the grinding before was really annoying, but once it pla

6.30 Noon BTC/ETH Market Haibei's View
After last night's rally, BTC and ETH hit short-term rebound highs, but bullish momentum quickly faded, with short-term pressure persisting and prices falling back. On the 1-hour chart, MA5 turned downward crossing below MA10, forming a death cross. Volume increased during the rally but decreased during the pullback, showing ongoing selling pressure at highs. The current oversold repair rally has entered a high-level pullback phase, still part of a weak recovery consolidation after the sharp drop, without a reversal into a bullish trend. The short-term ou

Honestly, this chart is really messing with people. 🚨📉 A few days ago in the afternoon, $ZEC was still faking strength at the top. Many saw it not dropping and wanted to jump in, but the more I looked, the more I felt it was weak, especially the way it softened as soon as it touched the top.
During the grinding top in the session, I saw insufficient buying support, weak rebounds, and volume not keeping up. At that point, I judged that ZEC was not a strong continuation, but rather had no one catching the dip—the window for shorts to cash out was clearer. So I executed a short near 620.33 �

This wave of sell-off is clean and decisive, the chart doesn't put on any act! 🚨📉
A few days ago before bed $SIREN it was still grinding at highs, many people thought it would rally, but what I noticed was a volume-less pump, insufficient support, and no resistance to any selling pressure from above.
While everyone was still waiting, I saw SIREN's bounce getting weaker, each upward move seeming to lack one breath. 👀
I reminded myself not to chase the crowd and wait for a clearer short signal, so I opened a short position near 1.20261.
Now it's at 0.03975, the return is already +237

⚽ World Cup Round of 16 Preview｜7/1 01:00 Ivory Coast 🇨🇮 vs Norway 🇳🇴
The World Cup knockout stage continues with this match between Ivory Coast and Norway. Both teams hope to advance, so the pace is expected to be very cautious. Ivory Coast has excellent physical fitness and combat ability; their wing breakthroughs and set-piece threats cannot be underestimated. As long as they can master the transition between offense and defense, they have the opportunity to tear open the opponent's defense at any time.
On the other hand, Norway has a more mature overall tactical system, with decent fin

To be honest, this candle came out and the chart got emotional! 🚀 The last look before bed was still grinding, and when I opened the chart in the morning, $LAB had already turned a few days' patience into gains 📌
A few days ago when I looked at LAB before bed, the focus wasn't on whether it would pump immediately, but whether the retrace held. Price consolidated around 4.04639 without breaking down, buying gradually became active, and selling pressure didn't continue to dump. At that time, I suggested going long 👀
This is the rhythm.
Don't get emotional with profits.
Now from 4.04639 to 14

#TradFiCFDGoldMasters
Gold has always been more than just a precious metal. For generations, investors have turned to it during periods of uncertainty because it has a long history of preserving value. Today, the financial markets have evolved, and traders no longer need to own physical gold to benefit from its price movements. Through Contracts for Difference (CFDs), market participants can trade both rising and falling gold prices with greater flexibility while managing their capital more efficiently.
𝙒𝙝𝙮 𝙂𝙤𝙡𝙙 𝙍𝙚𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨 𝙖 𝙂𝙡𝙤𝙗𝙖𝙡 𝙈𝙖𝙧𝙠𝙚𝙩 𝙇𝙚𝙖𝙙𝙚𝙧
Gold continues to