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Many are now drawing an analogy:
2022 → 30k
2026 → 60k
But there is an important point that is often forgotten.
After the first touch of 30k in 2021–2022
the market did not die.
It made a new ATH.
The level was only broken when the growth structure was already destroyed and liquidity had left the system.
That’s the difference.
The level itself means nothing.
Important:
— Is there an aggressive buyer?
— Is the structure recovering?
— Are we returning above key zones?
60k is not a “point of destiny.”
It’s a marker of strength.
If, after the test, the market:
— returns above 70–75k
— consolidates
— builds a higher low
then it’s just a deep correction within the cycle.
If instead:
— the bounce is weak
— the return below the level
— and pressure continues
then it’s no longer 2021,
but mid-2022.
History doesn’t repeat mechanically.
It repeats through liquidity and structure.
And that’s what you should be watching now.