2026-01-19 20:34:00

December 2025 PCE inflation tracking just came in at 2.98% year-over-year. Meanwhile, Q4 2025 GDP tracking finished the week sitting at 2.1%. But here's the catch—the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model doesn't factor in what could be a significant drag. If a government shutdown materializes, analysts estimate it could shave off roughly 1.2 percentage points from growth. That's a meaningful headwind. So while headline numbers look okay on the surface, the real picture might be tighter than it appears. Worth keeping an eye on how this plays out through the quarter.

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LazyDevMiner

· 6h ago

Oh no, shutdown is coming again? The numbers look good, but in reality, it's all smoke and mirrors...

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AirdropHarvester

· 6h ago

A surface GDP of 2.1% looks okay, but if there's a shutdown, it will directly cut by 1.2 percentage points... That's the hidden mine only players can see.

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NFTArchaeologis

· 6h ago

It's the same old superficial storytelling trick. The 2.98% PCE looks okay, but the real story is hidden in the shadow of that 1.2% shutdown—just like antique appraisal, where objects with a perfect surface patina are often the most problematic. Data remnants will speak.

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FOMOrektGuy

· 6h ago

Listen, surface numbers are bullshit. Once a shutdown happens, it will directly cut 1.2 percentage points. Now that's a real pitfall.

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CoinBasedThinking

· 6h ago

Key data is approaching warning levels, and with the government shutdown, it directly drops by 1.2 points. This wave really can't be contained anymore.

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