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All afternoon watching the market, the more I look, the more I feel that the market has a pretty good grasp of retail investors' psychology. A bunch of people are fixated on the 3380 high point, while others are anxious and indecisive around the 3330 range during the oscillation, all thinking about waiting for a pullback to buy the dip. But have they ever considered that the main force might not give a chance for a pullback at all, and instead just accelerate upward with the trend?
The discussion in the community is also very interesting. When the MACD shows a death cross signal, many people start to panic and rush to short to lock in profits. In fact, this is a typical retail investor anxiety. Watching ETH surge straight from 3060 to 3383, then experiencing a slight pullback, they think the rally has topped out and are eager to short for a correction. This mindset is like stepping on the brake when encountering a red light while driving—it's not about reversing, just pausing briefly. When the green light comes on, you still need to step on the accelerator.
Looking closely at the 1-hour chart, the details tell the story clearly. During the move from 3060 to 3380, the volume bars kept rising, indicating real money continuously entering the market. But now, during the sideways movement around 3330, the trading volume has shrunk significantly, to a pitiful level. This signal is quite clear: the main force has no intention of unloading, just using small fluctuations to scare out less stable retail investors into selling, then quietly accumulating at lower levels.
Those familiar with charts should be able to see that this is a classic bull flag pattern.