2026-01-14 12:10:48

#美国就业数据不及预期【Is the cycle pattern being broken?】 The "Four-Year Cycle" of Bitcoin might be failing

Retail investors still cling to this ironclad rule, but institutional investors are already recalculating.

CZ's recent viewpoint hits the core—The US crypto regulatory environment is indeed warming. Since the new government took office, the US stock market has continued to rise, reflecting subtle changes in the entire policy ecosystem. For professional players, this signal is very clear: market variables have changed.

The reason the past "Four-Year Cycle" of Bitcoin was valid fundamentally depends on capital flows, policy environment, and market participant structure. When these underlying logics shift, historical patterns will no longer simply repeat. Currently, the global capital landscape is being reshaped, and policy expectations are being rewritten.

What does this mean? The old cycle projection might need an upgrade.

$BTC $ETH $XRP

BTC-4.22%

ETH-5.15%

XRP-2.97%

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AllTalkLongTrader

· 01-17 05:19

Retail investors are still clinging tightly to the four-year cycle, laughable. Institutions have already calculated everything in another dimension. The story of naive people with lots of money is always the most tragic. Once policies shift, the entire game rules change. Are you still looking at the old white paper?

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MysteriousZhang

· 01-16 18:36

The four-year cycle is broken. What's the next move? Retail investors are still dreaming.

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ServantOfSatoshi

· 01-15 18:36

Four-year cycles—this outdated concept should have been discarded long ago. Who still believes in it now? Institutions are already betting on policy dividends, while retail investors are still looking at K-line charts and playing mahjong.

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TokenDustCollector

· 01-14 12:35

The idea of a four-year cycle should have been discarded long ago. It's already 2024, and you're still clinging to this old calendar? Institutions have already started betting on a new script.

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rugpull_ptsd

· 01-14 12:31

The four-year cycle logic should have gone bankrupt long ago. Retail investors are still dreaming while staring at charts. Institutions have already started a new game.

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SigmaBrain

· 01-14 12:27

Four-year cycle burst? Retail investors are still sleepwalking; institutions have already jumped on board.

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SolidityStruggler

· 01-14 12:22

The issue of the four-year cycle failing, there's nothing wrong with that statement, but retail investors are still bottom-fishing.

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