2026-01-14 00:51:07

#密码资产动态追踪 Bitcoin's current trend still looks quite bullish. The recent rally from around $90,000 is not driven by fleeting emotions but by a sustained trend after thorough consolidation, indicating that major funds remain optimistic about the future market.

What about the technical aspect? On the four-hour chart, the price has been firmly holding above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, occasionally testing the upper band. Moving averages across various timeframes are all expanding upwards, which is a sign that the uptrend is still alive. Although there have been some pullbacks recently, they are mostly profit-taking from the rapid gains earlier, without any signs of collective panic selling or heavy volume dumps. The overall holding structure remains healthy.

The one-hour chart also shows interesting behavior. After a sharp rise, the price entered consolidation, but the retracement was not too rapid. Each dip was met with buy orders at the bottom, preventing a weak, continuous sell-off pattern. This kind of market movement appears more like a technical pullback within a strong trend, aimed at cooling overbought indicators and clearing out short-term froth, preparing for the next upward move.

$BTC $ETH 's entire trend framework is based on this logic.

BTC-0.05%

ETH0.86%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

RugpullAlertOfficer

· 01-16 22:12

Bollinger Bands tightly stuck at the upper band, this wave is really different, big funds haven't run... --- Another story of "full washout," I'm already tired of hearing it, let's just watch for now --- Healthy position structure, bullshit, I should have sold at 90,000 --- The one-hour stepping foot theory sounds pretty comfortable, but when it really drops, no one will catch it... --- Damn, they want me to buy the dip again, always saying the same thing --- The framework looks good, but I only watch for the moment it breaks below 90,000 --- I've seen the moving average divergence last year, then it just ape'd directly --- Clear out the floating chips, in the end, it's just cutting the leeks again, same old trick

View OriginalReply0

HodlAndChill

· 01-15 17:17

Large funds are taking over this wave without hesitation. The Bollinger Bands are holding tightly, just waiting for the next surge to take off.

View OriginalReply0

LightningWallet

· 01-14 01:20

Bro, this move is definitely a shakeout. Those who bought at the bottom are all smiling. Isn't this a typical strong correction? The real rally happens after the floating positions are cleared. The upper Bollinger Band is being touched; you still want to get off now? It's too late. A healthy position structure indicates that big players haven't run away. There's no rush for a pullback; someone is supporting the bottom. It's clear someone is controlling the market. Just wait and see the next surge; I don't think it will disappoint.

View OriginalReply0

WhaleSurfer

· 01-14 01:20

The middle Bollinger band holds firmly, I like this rhythm, this is the kind of orderly rise I want. Large funds are still quietly adding positions; short-term adjustments are just clearing out floating positions. Don't be fooled into exiting. There are buyers absorbing the dips during the rally, indicating that the bulls still have strength. Continue to look for gains. The four-hour moving averages are diverging, this is a real upward trend, unlike the weak rebounds before. Bottom support is crucial; once there's no one to catch the falling price, it's truly time to be cautious.

View OriginalReply0

OneBlockAtATime

· 01-14 01:12

Large funds are accumulating at the bottom; this round of shakeout is indeed quite deliberate. --- The middle Bollinger band is holding firm, and daring to poke the upper band shows that the bulls are indeed not虚. --- Every time someone is picking up the bottom, it feels like a well-directed show. --- Only after clearing the floating positions can we push forward; let's wait for the next wave. --- The four-hour moving average pattern is indeed textbook, although I never make money from such charts every time I see them, haha. --- No matter how good the words are, it depends on whether we can break through new highs. Right now, it's still in the storytelling stage. --- Is the holding structure healthy? Didn't we say yesterday that it was? Yet today, it retraced again. --- The bullish framework is still in place; it just depends on how long it can hold. --- The absence of continuous sell-offs is a good sign, but I have a feeling it's the calm before the storm. --- Short-term overbought conditions should be cleaned up, otherwise it’s easy to retest. --- I agree that profit-taking orders are being sold off, but I don't know when the institutions will continue to run away.

View OriginalReply0

DaoResearcher

· 01-14 01:04

Based on on-chain data and governance mechanisms, the holding structure behind this wave of price increases is indeed worth paying attention to. However, from a Token economics perspective, the confidence of large funds still needs to be further validated through trading depth. --- As long as the middle Bollinger Band holds, that's fine. The key is how genuine the buy-side support is, and what are the preconditions for this assumption to hold? --- Wait, the idea that all moving averages in different cycles are diverging is actually flawed in high-frequency trading environments. We need to look at position change data to be sure. --- So the key question is: does this "technical foothold" game truly have multiple equilibrium solutions, or is it just a short-term liquidity phenomenon? --- It’s worth noting that, regarding the health of the holding structure, just looking at the absence of volume-driven sell-offs isn't enough. We need to compare it with Whale behaviors in historical cycles to be convincing. --- I suggest first checking out Vitalik’s views on market microstructure. You’ll understand why purely technical analysis has its limitations in this cycle. --- Preparing for the next wave with a strong foothold? How high can the confidence interval for this assumption go? We need to let the data speak.

View OriginalReply0