2026-01-13 17:23:24

A recent interesting phenomenon: the movements of BTC and gold are increasingly diverging. Have you noticed this divergence?

Looking back at historical records, this situation has occurred four times. After each occurrence, over the next two months, BTC has averaged a gain of about 56%. If this pattern repeats this time, starting from the current price, the target range is roughly between $144,000 and $150,000. Does that sound a bit crazy? But the data says so.

From a cyclical perspective, the current trend is becoming more like the 2020 to 2021 cycle: first a prolonged sideways accumulation phase, then gradually slipping into the first half of a "quasi-parabolic" acceleration. If the fractal continues to unfold, the $150,000 level indeed contains several key targets. Do you feel that sense of potential building up?

What about ETH? Personally, I lean towards above $5,000. In the short term, holding mainstream assets like BTC, ETH, SOL, and BNB isn't a bad idea. The macro cycle isn't bad, so don't get shaken in your mindset.

BTC-1.04%

ETH-0.3%

SOL-0.13%

BNB0.08%

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MetaverseVagabond

· 01-16 06:20

56% increase? Brother, where did you get this data? I feel it's a bit too optimistic. 15 million sounds good, but can we trust the current macro environment? I agree with holding mainstream chips; don't mess around and you'll be fine. Wait, is the divergence between BTC and gold really that obvious? Why don't I feel it that much? That crazy rally in 2020—can it be replicated now? Question mark. ETH at 5000 is a bit of a dream; staying grounded might be healthier. I believe the big cycle isn't bad, but it's easy to talk about mindset. This kind of analysis appears every time, but in the end? Most still get cut. 56% in two months—if it were really like that, I would have been rich already, haha. What is the premise of this sideways consolidation and buildup? I haven't seen sufficient argumentation. I don't quite believe that history simply repeats itself; there are too many market variables.

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just_another_wallet

· 01-15 22:04

56% increase? Is this history repeating itself? I feel like this set of words can be recycled every time. 150,000 parabola... Just listen to it, and when the time comes, there will be another explanation. Holding onto mainstream chips is correct, just don't be fooled by these data. Target levels are always most accurate in hindsight. BTC and gold diverging? That's normal, they are not the same thing to begin with.

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ForkLibertarian

· 01-13 17:53

56%？Come on, it's unlikely that history will repeat itself --- Is 150,000 really achievable? I just want to know if there's a dump coming --- Holding mainstream chips is not wrong, the problem is everyone's mentality is chaotic haha --- The divergence between BTC and gold has been obvious for a while, just don't know how to trade it --- 5000 ETH? Forget it, let's see 4000 first while still alive --- Beautiful data is great, but I'm worried it will turn into yesterday's consensus and today's joke --- I've heard "building momentum" too many times, and every time I wait for the flowers to fall --- Sideways accumulation period? This sideways movement has been going on for too long

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DAOdreamer

· 01-13 17:29

$150,000? That sounds a bit outrageous, but the data logic is indeed quite convincing. A 56% increase has occurred four times? Could this be the same pattern again... Watching BTC diverge from gold, it does seem like a signal of takeoff. Hold onto the mainstream chips, the long-term cycle isn't bad. I like hearing that, it's reassuring.

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PessimisticOracle

· 01-13 17:28

56% increase? Sounds good... but I still think there will be a correction, don't be too optimistic. 150,000? Wake up, when the bear market comes you'll know what ruthlessness means. This divergence is indeed interesting, but history won't repeat exactly, don't be brainwashed by tricks. Just hold the chips, don't overthink... most people end up losing money on predictions. Ah, fractal theory again, someone always talks about it each cycle, but what’s the result? I don’t believe ETH will reach 5000 unless Bitcoin really surges above 140,000. Avoid crowded places, mainstream coins tend to die the ugliest in the end.

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AirdropLicker

· 01-13 17:28

150,000 really achievable, or does it feel like just a dream... Wait, your historical comparison has some substance, I need to look it up The divergence between BTC and gold is indeed quite interesting Holding mainstream chips, I agree with this, as long as your mindset doesn't collapse, you'll win 56%... sounds exciting, but we also need to watch out for a crash I didn't bottom out during the 2020-2021 cycle, and I can't afford to miss it this time Here we go again talking about 5000 ETH, can I at least get a chance to buy the dip? Is data always correct? I just want to see what happens next Is it really going to skyrocket after such a long consolidation? I believe the big cycle isn't broken, so hold on for now

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StakeTillRetire

· 01-13 17:25

56% increase? Alright, I'll set my stop-loss first and then decide. I believe BTC will reach 150,000, I just don't know when. Anyway, holding it won't lose money. I've heard the story of history repeating itself too many times, but the data is right here, there's nothing I can do. If 150,000 really comes, I need to add to my positions in SOL and BNB. I'm still waiting. People are probably going to watch others make money with their eyes wide open again. Maintaining the right mindset is really the hardest.

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