#策略性加码BTC January 13 evening session US CPI data will be released soon, which could become a key turning point for the market.

**Bitcoin Trend Analysis**

On the daily chart, after rebounding from the mid-term support at $90,000, Bitcoin has firmly stabilized above $92,000. From the current situation, there is still room for further upward movement, with the upper boundary of the box at $94,500 just ahead. The support formed by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and the MA60 are quite solid; multiple retracements have not effectively broken through, indicating good bottom support strength. The next probable event is a test of the upper boundary of the box again.

The four-hour timeframe is more dynamic. The price is oscillating widely within the Bollinger Bands channel and has not yet formed a decisive breakout, but the short-term moving averages are already turning upward. All technical indicators are bullish—MACD fast and slow lines have a golden cross, volume is increasing, KDJ is rising, and the VR indicator is consolidating near high levels around 160. These all suggest a possible acceleration ahead. In terms of operation, if the central zone at $89,000 cannot hold, then attention should turn to the lower boundary at $85,000. Bears need to patiently wait for a key dividing point; the longer the time, the higher the probability of a breakdown.

**Ethereum Situation**

On the daily chart, after touching the support at $3,030, ETH rebounded and is currently being pressed down by the $3,170 level. The boundaries of the box are clear: bottom at $2,770, midline at $3,030, and top at $3,320. The support level has not been broken through, indicating another attempt to push towards the upper boundary is likely. In the short term, focus on the support zone around $3,050-$3,080, or watch the MA60 daily moving average at $3,030.

On the four-hour chart, the key resistance zone is between $3,150 and $3,180. As long as a valid breakout and stabilization occur, a new upward trend can begin. Before breaking through, the price will likely fluctuate around the 1-hour MA256 at approximately $3,140.

**Two Possible Scenarios for Tonight’s Data**

US December CPI data will be released at 21:30, which is a critical catalyst to break the current balance between bulls and bears:

- If the data is below expectations, BTC may surge to $93,000-$94,000, and ETH could challenge $3,180.

- If the data exceeds expectations, BTC should be cautious of a pullback to $90,000, and ETH should watch out for a dip to support levels at $3,050-$3,080.

**Short-term Trading References**

BTC: Consider entering long positions around $90,500-$91,000, targeting $93,000-$93,500.

ETH: Consider entering long positions around $3,050-$3,080, targeting $3,175-$3,200.