2026-01-12 11:29:18

A radical prediction has been circulating in the community recently: by early 2026, XMR (Monero) may face significant pressure, with the price potentially reaching $100. While it sounds a bit sensational, the underlying logical chain is indeed worth analyzing.

**Why is there such concern?**

Regulatory scrutiny hangs over privacy coins. 2026 will become a key point for the implementation of global compliance policies. The EU's attitude towards privacy coins is becoming increasingly strict, and mainstream exchanges are also under pressure. If stricter restrictions are imposed, XMR's liquidity could sharply shrink — this is the real killer of price collapse.

From a technical perspective, XMR is currently hovering around $500. If it breaks below the $400 critical support, large institutional liquidations will follow, and once confidence collapses, prices from three years ago (around $100) are not impossible.

Another overlooked point: full-chain privacy technology is gradually maturing. New solutions like FHE are taking root in the Ethereum ecosystem, and the narrative of "urgent need" for native privacy coins is being eroded. When the market finds alternative solutions, pure privacy attributes may no longer be as valuable.

**How to respond?**

If you hold a position, this price level is arguably a historical high. Consider taking profits in stages, at least preserving your principal. Don’t let "big picture" thinking trap you; splitting at high levels is a reasonable risk management strategy.

Secondly, closely monitor announcements from exchanges. Once you hear any signs of movement, execute your withdrawal plan immediately — don’t gamble on that last spike.

Finally, if the price really drops to $100, it could be an extremely attractive low point for true believers in privacy technology. As long as XMR can stabilize at that level, it indicates the market has already digested the worst-case scenario. This could be an opportunity to accumulate — but only if you have enough psychological resilience and capital reserves.

ETH-5.43%

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DegenDreamer

· 01-15 11:20

Regulatory pressure is indeed tightening more and more, but saying XMR will drop to 100? That seems a bit like hype. Splitting the sell-offs is not wrong, but I do feel a bit distressed about the current price levels. If it really drops that hard, I might actually consider bottom fishing. Can FHE alternatives truly replace privacy coins, or is it just talk? Whether to hold or withdraw now really depends on the actions of the exchanges. Just don't get caught up in "faith"; staying alive is the top priority.

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MEVictim

· 01-15 02:18

Regulation is a sword that will fall sooner or later. Instead of waiting to be cut, it's better to run now. --- FHE is up, what other competitiveness does XMR have? Privacy has long ceased to be a necessity. --- Dropping from 500 to 100? Laughable. I bet it won't last until 2026. --- Gradually escaping the top is the real move. Don't wait for that needle to be inserted. --- If you ask me, holding XMR now is just betting that exchanges won't delist it. --- Listening to "buying at low levels" is just talk; mental resilience, haha. --- The wave of compliance is coming, and no one can hide from it. Privacy coins are the hardest hit.

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TerraNeverForget

· 01-12 11:50

Regulation is really a double-edged sword; with FHE emerging, it's uncertain how long privacy coins can hold up. Running in batches is the smart choice; don't gamble on any support levels.

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AlphaLeaker

· 01-12 11:47

Regulation really cuts through all privacy coins, and XMR can't escape either. Once FHE becomes mainstream, no one will need XMR anymore. This logic is actually quite heartbreaking. Gradual accumulation is the way to go; don't bet on those elusive narratives. If it drops to 100, I actually want to buy the dip, just worried about running out of bullets.

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FlashLoanKing

· 01-12 11:36

Regulation has really arrived, privacy coins are a bit uncertain this time Getting off in batches is the way to go, don't be greedy Is FHE rising? Is XMR still necessary? $100 is indeed attractive, but you just have to wait and see until that day

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CrashHotline

· 01-12 11:33

Regulation is bound to come down eventually, and XMR will really suffer then. Can FHE replace privacy coins? I think it's doubtful. If it's 100 yuan, I need to save up; holding now feels a bit risky. You're right, don't be brainwashed by the "big picture," just secure your profits first. If there's any movement on the exchange side, run immediately; it's not worth gambling. Actually, falling to the bottom is better for buying, provided you are alive to see that day.

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ApeDegen

· 01-12 11:30

Regulation is indeed a looming threat, but to be honest, if XMR drops to $100, I might actually consider buying the dip. Not gonna lie, the EU just keeps talking all day, but do exchanges really dare to delist? Liquidity shouldn't collapse that much. FHE has been hyped for a long time, but I haven't seen any killer application yet.

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