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Forecasting markets seems to require technology and operations, but what truly determines success or failure is often the ability to select topics—understanding what market participants care about most.
For example, on public blockchains like BNB Chain, building a prediction platform focused on the tech sector and using hot topics of widespread concern in the industry as trading targets can open up new user growth opportunities.
Take AI medical applications as an example; this is a promising prediction direction. OpenAI recently launched a health assistant feature, and many are speculating when Google’s Gemini will follow with similar functionality. Based on Google’s technological expertise, this possibility is quite real—last year, their DeepMind team won the Nobel Prize for their protein structure prediction research with AlphaFold, consistently leading the way in medical AI exploration.
More importantly, in recent years, Google has been working hard to acquire users’ health data through hardware and software. Wearable devices like Pixel Watch have become important entry points for data collection. Data shows that about 25% of American adults use smartwatches, and Google’s market share in this segment remains steady at around 5%-10%. In other words, they already have health data on nearly 2% of the adult population in the US, providing a solid data foundation for launching related features.