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Next year's US military budget: 1.5 trillion dollars.
Not 150 billion,
Not 500 billion,
It's—1.5 trillion.
This is no longer a "cycle,"
This is a long-term national-level order.
Brothers, remember this one sentence first:
👉 When the military budget is written into the fiscal table,
It's no longer emotion, but cash flow.
And this kind of money,
Once it starts to be spent,
Basically, it will only increase year by year.
So these past two days, I’ve been repeatedly reviewing and adding,
The following military / aerospace ETFs👇
To clearly distinguish the logic and target audience for you.
1️⃣ Military【Non-Leverage】ETF (Long-term trend)
ITA / XAR
First, the conclusion:
👉 This is the "money printer in a slow bull market."
📈 Historical performance:
ITA:
20 years ≈ 5 times
2025 expected return ≈ +48.64%
XAR:
15 years ≈ 10 times
2025 expected return ≈ +46.14%
How to choose the difference?
🔹 ITA
If you prefer:
Large-cap blue chips
Stable orders
Old giants like Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon
👉 ITA is more suitable for you
🔹 XAR
If you are optimistic about:
Small-cap
High growth
Drones, aerospace components, new military technology
👉 XAR has stronger elasticity and more explosive potential in the long run
Summary in one sentence:
ITA is stable, XAR is fierce.
2️⃣ DFEN (3x leverage, short-term fierce beast)🔥
DFEN – Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X
Let’s clarify:
⚠️ This is for those who can withstand volatility.
What does it do?
👉 Aerospace sector, 3x leverage intraday.
Performance in 2025:
📈 +155.87%
Historical data:
Since its establishment in 2017
Total return ≈ 5 times
Who is it suitable for?
👉 Clearly bullish on military industry
👉 Have rhythm
👉 Not planning to hold through dips
👉 Know how to cut losses and scale in stages
Who is it not suitable for?
👉 Want to "buy and forget"
👉 Can't handle 20% pullbacks
One sentence:
This is a knife, not a pillow.
3️⃣ UFO (Space economy, betting on the future)🛸
UFO – Procure Space ETF
This is a direction that is easily overlooked,
But once it takes off, it’s very fierce.
What does it invest in?
Space exploration
Satellites
Rockets
Commercial space industry chain
2025 expected return:
📈 +66.44%
Long-term data:
Since its establishment in 2019
Total return ≈ 2.5 times
Annualized ≈ 20–25%
This is not traditional military industry,
It’s:
👉 Military spending + space race + commercial space superimposed.
Is it risky?
Yes.
But the imagination space is also truly large.
Final key summary:
1.5 trillion military spending is not a story for one year,
It’s the underlying logic for the next decade.
This is not a short-term hot spot,
It’s:
👉 Geopolitical conflicts
👉 Great power games
👉 Technological military competition
driving a long-term capital black hole.
You may choose not to chase,
But you’d better know:
Where is the money flowing?
Brothers,
Do you prefer:
👉 Stable ITA
👉 Highly elastic XAR
👉 #杠杆 DFEN
👉 Or betting on the future with UFO?