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My Crypto Expectations — Q1 2026
Q1 likely sees portfolio rebalancing and positioning, not euphoric inflows.
Institutions deploy capital gradually after year-end resets.
I therefore have a constructive, not explosive bias.
#BTC trades as a macro-sensitive asset and #ETF flows matter more than retail sentiment imo.
Expect higher lows unless macro deteriorates.
In contrast #Ethereum benefits from:
Staking yield, Network usage narratives and Infrastructure positioning with performance depending on risk appetite.
Therefore I believe $ETH can outperform $BTC during risk-on windows.
#Altcoins should be traded according to "Selective Rotation" and it is unlikely we will see a broad #Altseason .
Capital rotates into:
Liquid L1s
DeFi with revenue
Infrastructure plays
High-beta names remain volatile.
It is therefore a stock-picking market.
So we should watch for Volatility increases due to
Macro data prints and Policy expectations shift
Main Risk is Hot #inflation data
Policy pushback against rate-cut expectations
Sudden liquidity tightening
Leverage build-up in derivatives
In conclusion, Q1 2026 is about setup, not climax.
Economically: stable but cautious
Crypto: constructive but selective
Best environment for positioning, not chasing
The BIG question for #BTC is whether we have ABC down from the top, or 123 - THE JURY IS STILL OUT!