Recent discussions on X have made me rethink this wave of the market. The Fed just injected 74.6 billion dollars, and many are betting that this will push up BTC and ETH. But looking at BlackRock's actions is quite interesting—their clients are simultaneously selling nearly a billion worth of BTC, and this rhythm of inflows and outflows naturally makes people wonder: are institutions optimistic or are they short-term cashing out?

Another phenomenon worth noting is that projects like certain Meme coins follow a very clear pattern: hype in the early stage, then dump in the later stage, much like a futures game. Retail investors are often fooled by these short-term false signals, chasing highs and selling lows.

We've seen this before in 2018—liquidity increased, yet the bear market still arrived. Now, at the beginning of 2026, this lesson must be remembered. Looking at K-line charts alone is not enough; understanding the underlying factors is crucial. For example, some prediction platforms now allow users to express market sentiment through betting, and this mechanism is more reliable than blindly following the trend.

The money from the Fed can indeed stimulate risk assets, but it also amplifies market volatility. This is the key point—cryptocurrency is becoming more mainstream, with deep institutional participation, but this also means retail investors need to understand the rules, or they risk becoming the little guys.

In the long run, the best approach is to learn more and think more. Education and understanding market mechanisms are far more important than chasing hot trends. Many communities and projects are now doing this—providing free education to help everyone avoid pitfalls. Market observation requires calmness and learning. Keep the rhythm right and don’t be led by short-term signals.