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ETH 2970 Price Level Bull and Bear Strategy Execution Checklist (Can be directly copied)
Core Premise: Current price 2970, oscillation zone center, short-term oscillation slightly weak, mid-term waiting for breakout confirmation; single trade risk ≤ 2% of total funds, leverage ≤ 3x
I. Short-term Strategy (1-3 days, oscillation approach)
1. Bullish Strategy (Buy on dip)
• Entry Price Range: Batch 1=2950-2940; Batch 2=2900-2880
• Position Allocation: 5% of total funds per batch, total ≤ 10% of total funds
• Stop Loss Price: Batch 1=2920; Batch 2=2860
• Take Profit Targets: First target 2990-3000 (reduce 50%); Second target 3050-3060 (exit all)
• Trigger Conditions: 4-hour closing back above support without falling below; RSI<40 and bullish divergence appears
• Caution: Do not add to Batch 1 if price falls below 2930; do not add to Batch 2 if not stabilized above 2920
2. Bearish Strategy (Short on rebound)
• Entry Price Range: Batch 1=2990-3000; Batch 2=3050-3060
• Position Allocation: 5% of total funds per batch, total ≤ 10% of total funds
• Stop Loss Price: Batch 1=3020; Batch 2=3090
• Take Profit Targets: First target 2950 (reduce 50%); Second target 2900-2880 (exit all)
• Trigger Conditions: 4-hour rebound encounters resistance and falls back; RSI>60 and bearish divergence appears
• Caution: Do not add to Batch 1 if price breaks above 3010; do not add to Batch 2 if not resisted at 3070
II. Mid-term Strategy (1-2 weeks, breakout approach)
1. Bullish Breakout Strategy
• Entry Price: 4-hour close above 3030 with volume > 20 billion USD
• Position Allocation: 10-15% of total funds
• Stop Loss Price: 2980 (50 points below breakout level)
• Take Profit Targets: First target 3100-3150 (reduce 50%); Second target 3370 (exit all)
• Core Logic: Break above oscillation upper boundary, open upward space
• Caution: Do not enter if no volume confirmation above 3030
2. Bearish Breakdown Strategy
• Entry Price: 4-hour close below 2900 with volume > 20 billion USD
• Position Allocation: 10% of total funds
• Stop Loss Price: 2950 (50 points above breakdown level)
• Take Profit Targets: First target 2812 (reduce 50%); Second target 2750 (exit all)
• Core Logic: Break below key medium-term support, market sentiment weakens
• Caution: Do not enter if no volume confirmation below 2900
III. Position and Risk Control Rules
1. Total short-term position ≤ 20% of total funds, single short-term strategy ≤ 10% of total funds
2. Total mid-term position ≤ 30% of total funds, single mid-term strategy ≤ 15% of total funds
3. Cash reserves ≥ 50% of total funds to handle liquidity risk
4. Leverage during oscillation ≤ 2x, after breakout confirmation ≤ 3x
5. Close immediately upon reaching stop loss; do not fight against the order; stagger take profits to lock in gains
6. Do not open positions without clear signals; avoid chasing rallies or panic selling
IV. Special Situation Response Checklist
1. Low liquidity during holidays (12.31-1.1)
◦ Reduce position to ≤ 10% of total funds
◦ Expand stop loss to 1.5 times normal level
◦ Avoid overnight high-leverage positions
2. Sudden news (regulation/upgrade)
◦ Positive: Break above 3030 then add long positions, do not pre-position
◦ Negative: Break below 2900 then short, do not panic sell
3. ETH independent trend (diverging from BTC)
◦ Stronger than BTC: Prioritize long strategy, raise take profit target by 10-20 points
◦ Weaker than BTC: Prioritize short strategy, lower take profit target by 10-20 points