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#比特币与黄金战争 After looking at the 15-minute candlestick chart, my judgment is that the probability of a breakdown is actually not high.
The reason is simple—just relying on breaking below the 87,000 level, the profit space on the futures side is really limited. On the other hand, if it pushes upward, the leveraged positions held by those opening shorts at lower levels will suffer. $BTC
The market logic is like this: you need to completely clear out these high-leverage positions and harvest the funds, so that the gains during a decline can be maximized. Therefore, from a probability standpoint, the price is more likely to continue upward.
But here’s a key point—if it really surges, especially when reaching the resistance zone around 91,500 to 92,000, you need to be cautious. I’ve already discussed this position in previous analyses. For now, there’s no need to worry too much about a crash. $ETH
Other logical judgments, I’ve mentioned in earlier opinions. Now, it all depends on how the market moves.