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Gold, as a natural currency in human history, has a history of over 4,000 years. Bitcoin is about to celebrate its 17th birthday.
Gold has been intertwined with the entire development of human history, witnessing countless changes of regimes and dynasties, making it a classic "old school" asset.
Gold is the physical version of Bitcoin—visible, tangible, and providing a sense of security in hand;
Bitcoin is programmable gold—digitized, composable, with many advantages in comparison to its peers, and greater potential for the future.
As the internet and AI increasingly invade human life, thoughts, and economic activities, digital gold (Bitcoin) will continue to permeate and occupy more people's minds. The continuous rise of physical gold undoubtedly opens up imagination space for Bitcoin. Compared to gold's market value, BTC still has 20 times room for growth, which is very optimistic.
Even if we don't look at it from the long arc of human history, in our ordinary lives, holding Bitcoin is a long-term bullish trend. However, in the 30 years before Bitcoin's birth, its price experienced high volatility. Someone FOMOed in at the peak of the 2021 bull market; if they panic-sold at the end of 2022, they would have lost 78% of their principal; but by 2025, they would have doubled their investment; continuous dollar-cost averaging in 2023-2024 would yield even higher returns. The key is to measure an investment based on the time scale and marginal costs.
Being born within 30 years before Bitcoin's birth is a stroke of luck.