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#比特币流动性 $BTC $ETH The $23.7 billion options settlement is coming, see you at 4 PM today
Hello everyone. Today at 4 PM, a major event—history's largest Bitcoin options settlement, with a notional value of $23.7 billion. This scale of settlement may seem intimidating, but historically, it often signals that the market is about to move.
Just look at the records:
The December 2023 settlement saw BTC jump from 42,000 to 48,000.
After the March 2024 settlement, it kicked off a fast track toward 70,000.
By the March 2025 settlement, BTC broke through 85,000, then headed toward 100,000.
The pattern is simple—before settlement, the market is locked, manipulated back and forth. Once the settlement occurs, all the forces are unleashed, often resulting in a one-sided trend. Today’s round could very well break through the current 85,000 to 90,000 range of volatility.
How should retail investors play it? Very straightforward:
**Hold your spot holdings**—don’t be scared out of the market by pre-settlement volatility. Staying calm is more important than anything.
**If the market pulls back due to settlement**, consider adding to your position, but don’t go all-in at once. Build your position gradually to stay flexible.
**Avoid trading futures contracts**, especially high leverage ones. During sharp market swings, leverage becomes a meat grinder—your principal can vanish in a flash.
Every bull market cycle ends with a period of accumulation before a breakout. Settlement is the moment to release pressure. Be patient and let the market tell its story.
The crypto market train is blowing its horn—are you boarding or watching from the platform? The choice is yours.
It's both delivery and volatility again, the old routine. It all depends on who can hold their ground without moving.
Contract pump-and-dump schemes, I see through them. Holding spot is the right way.
From 85,000 to 90,000, it feels like a big move is brewing.
Splitting into batches to build positions is correct; going all-in at once is just for those trying to make quick money.
But on the other hand, every time it's like this, it tests your mentality. I'm a bit anxious.
If this wave can break 90,000, reaching 100,000 is really not a dream.
On-chain data has been telling the story all along; historical backtests have hit the mark three times, so this time is likely no different. However, please consider this only as a reference, everyone.
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It's the same trick again, held down tightly before delivery, and once released, it takes off. Betting this time it can hit 90,000.
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I'm really afraid of the contract meat grinder. The shadow of being liquidated last time is still there.
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Should I add to my position or just lie flat? Feeling a bit guilty.
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Are historical patterns so accurate? Then I'll go all-in on spot at 4 o'clock, trusting this one time.
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What will the price look like after 23.7 billion in delivery? Feels like witnessing history.
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Retail investors are always the ones being harvested. Promised to stay patient, but ended up chasing highs and getting caught.
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Stop talking about tricks. Today, let's see what the big players are thinking.
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Holding spot sounds easy, but let me watch the 8.5K to 9K fluctuations and try.
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Feels like once this article is out, the market might move in the opposite direction.