#比特币流动性 December 25th Cryptocurrency Market Outlook and Short-term Strategy

The market is like tides, rising and falling; those who can grasp the rhythm remain steady as a rock, but most retail investors are often swept in when the trend shifts.

Looking at the current chart, Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe remains in a downtrend channel, repeatedly testing lower lows but lacking sustained momentum. The recent rebound is more of a correction before a potential trend reversal rather than a trend reversal itself—leaving room for subsequent declines. Bollinger Bands and moving averages continue to move downward, with the middle band breaking below the lower band. The short-term pattern of two bearish candles followed by a bullish candle is evident, indicating that the bears still hold the upper hand.

Although the 1-hour chart shows consecutive bullish candles indicating a rebound, it encounters strong resistance before reaching higher levels and then experiences a sharp pullback, suggesting short-term bullish momentum is severely lacking. As lower lows keep being refreshed, the entire downward corridor has fully unfolded. Until clear signs of a reversal appear, the rhythm should mainly follow rebounds to sell high.

**Specific reference levels:**
- Bitcoin: Consider shorting near 87200-87700, targeting around 86000
- Ethereum: Watch for rebound opportunities in the 2930-2950 range, with risk levels at 2850-2800