#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Midday Market Scan on December 20

$ETH Currently, the price is repeatedly testing the bottom in the 2980–2990 range. After a rebound, it has now entered a high-level consolidation phase. From the candlestick structure, although the short-term has held the midline, the overhead resistance is still quite evident. The rebound momentum appears to be weakening, and this wave of market movement is more of a convergence after the rebound, not enough to determine a trend reversal.

Analyzing from the BOLL band perspective: the upper band around 2992 acts as resistance, the midline near 2980 is close, and the lower band at 2770 serves as support. The price repeatedly oscillates around the midline, testing below the upper band multiple times but always being pushed back. The pressure from the upper band remains quite strong. Although the midline has slightly risen, it hasn't diverged significantly, indicating that the current market is in a consolidation state and hasn't opened up upward space.

Regarding the MACD indicator: after the green bars diminished, red bars appeared. However, the energy of these red bars is weakening. Although DIF and DEA have formed a golden cross, the slope of the cross is relatively gentle. Overall, the momentum after the rebound is gradually weakening.

Advice for bulls (buying on dips):
- Entry zone: 2950 – 2935
- Target expectations: 3000 – 3040
- Risk control: Stop loss below 2915
- If the price falls below 2920 effectively, the short-term bullish framework is considered invalid

Advice for bears (resisting the rebound):
- Entry zone: 3015 – 3035 (rebound to resistance level)
- Target expectations: 2980 – 2930 – 2880
- Risk control: Stop loss above 3055
- If the price stabilizes above 3050 effectively, the bearish outlook is no longer necessary

In summary: $ETH The current structure is oscillation above the BOLL midline + MACD rebound weakening. The trend is a typical range-bound pattern, with weak upward pressure and shallow downward breaks. Neither chasing the rally nor blindly breaking out is advisable. The strategy should focus on high-level short positions with support, combined with buying on dips, continuing to trade within this range.