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There are a few minutes left before the CPI data is announced. The unemployment benefits update is also synchronized, but we won't analyze it in detail here! It's weekly data! Tonight, I still focus on the CPI data! Personally, I am optimistic about a pullback and a long position, expecting a rebound after the news, with a target of the early morning high of 90,000 points! Auntie Tai targets 3,000!
Let's do a simple preview. Due to missing October data, there is no prior data available. Currently, the market expectation is 3.1%. The key focus tonight is whether the CPI will be in the 20s or 30s.
If the CPI drops to 2.9% or lower, it indicates that inflation is under control from a data perspective, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's continued rate cuts in 2026.
If the CPI is 3.0% or rebounds to above 3.1%, it may strengthen the narrative of sticky inflation, cool down rate cut expectations, and U.S. Treasury yields might rise. Technology stocks sensitive to interest rates could come under pressure.