The bottom-fishing opportunity often appears before the data is even released. The US CPI and unemployment data announced tonight at 21:30 could be the most influential move to shake the market in recent times.

Why is this so important? Because this set of data directly impacts the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut pace next year. The pace of rate cuts by the Fed determines whether the dollar will loosen or tighten. A looser dollar means more liquidity, which directly influences whether funds flow into risk assets, ultimately affecting the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum. This chain is tightly interconnected.

Let's look at two possible scenarios:

If the data is positive—inflation is under control, and the economy is cooling down—then the Fed has more room to cut rates sooner and faster. The dollar will weaken, international liquidity will loosen, and money will be more willing to pour into crypto assets. Mainstream cryptocurrencies are likely to rally, breaking through recent resistance levels.

If the data is negative—inflation remains stubborn, and the economy shows resilience—the Fed will have to maintain high interest rates. The dollar will strengthen, market liquidity will tighten, and risk assets will come under pressure. BTC and ETH may continue their current weak consolidation or even decline further to find stronger support.

In this game of tug-of-war, every data release is a re-pricing event. The accuracy and timing depend on how well you understand this chain of events.