#大户持仓变化 12.16 Silver Market Review and Trading Ideas

Silver has been oscillating recently. Although it seems to have rebounded quite a bit, honestly—the true reversal conditions haven't appeared yet. This is the normal state of the market; opportunities are everywhere, but the challenge is whether you can remain calm and make accurate judgments at critical moments.

After the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle concluded, officials' attitudes turned cautious. Market expectations about whether the easing will continue also cooled down. The dollar stabilized and began to rebound, which directly puts pressure on precious metals. From the demand side? There are no clear positive signals from the industrial sector. This current rebound is essentially technical self-repair, not a sign of trend reversal.

Looking closely at the chart: Silver hit a hard stop at the previous high of 64.6, then declined with increased volume. On the 4-hour chart, the bearish force has been fully released. The rebound to around 62.5 is actually a correction in a weak market. The moving averages still exert resistance above, and the price has been trading below the short- and medium-term moving averages. The overall structure is a sideways, bearish pattern. If it cannot hold above 63 later, the upward rebound space will be limited.

Trading Reference
Short position consideration range: 62.8–63.0
First take profit level: 62.0, if broken below, look towards 61.5