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Today’s market experienced a sharp decline, and many people are starting to feel nervous. However, if you look at on-chain data, you'll find that the reactions of big players are quite interesting.
From the movement of major funds in BTC and ETH, the situation is quite polarized. Some addresses are heavily opening long positions at lows, attempting to catch the bottom; others are closing positions to take profits. The most representative is that big player who has been bearish—they closed their BTC short positions today and earned over $2 million, but didn’t fully exit the market—they still hold an open short position of 68,000, indicating they still retain a bearish outlook.
Meanwhile, another group of major players has shifted from short to long, with some accounts directly rushing to the top of a certain DEX’s BTC long position leaderboard. Large capital divergence itself is a signal: the market has yet to find its direction.
For ordinary traders, this is the easiest time to make mistakes. Big players can withstand large drawdowns and continue to add positions; but retail investors have limited capital, and going all-in impulsively can easily lead to liquidation.
A more prudent approach is: try small positions in batches now, rather than investing all at once. Keep enough cash reserves and consider increasing positions only when the trend becomes clearer. During volatile times, observe more and operate less—keeping a calm mindset is more important than frequent trading.
Remember one thing—there will be many crashes in a bull market, and these can actually be opportunities to build positions. But the prerequisite is that you survive until that moment. Stay rational when the market screams, follow the smart money’s strategy, but ultimately, the decision-making power still rests in your hands.
The robot paradise is open again. Instead of watching the spectacle, better to focus on your own principal.
Is divergence a signal? No, divergence is a liquidity trap waving hello.
As for all-in, it's like buying in dark pools—by the time the price hits, you're already lying flat.
2 million USD and 68,000 short positions—this is called disciplined greed. We should learn from it.
Trying small positions to test the waters sounds easy, but when it’s time to act, you realize how inexperienced you are.
Waiting alive for the bull market—this is easier said than done, even harder than making money.
Retail investors should not follow the trend at this moment; just try a small position to test the waters.
Again, that saying—only by staying alive can you wait for a bull market.
This drop is exhausting, but it’s just how things are.
If the market has no direction, no one should pretend to be a big shot.
Those going all-in are just paying tuition.
Having some cash on hand is much more reassuring than being fully invested.
On-chain data speaks for itself; even the big players are fighting among themselves.
On-chain data is real, but following big players can also be easily liquidated. I think it still depends on your risk tolerance
Trying small positions in batches is a good move; those who go all-in have long been wiped out
The guy who closed his position and made over 2 million still wants to keep his short position. He's really cautious, we can only learn from him