Tracking real-time hot topics in the crypto circle and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Tuesday, December 16, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends☀ die-hard fans check-in👍 like and get rich🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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A new day begins. December 2025 has entered the second half, and 2025 is also counting down. Overnight, the three major US stock indices closed lower: Dow down 0.09%, Nasdaq down 0.59%, S&P 500 down 0.16%. Crypto mining companies and currency reserve concepts led the declines. According to CME “FedWatch”: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, with a 75.6% chance of holding rates steady. By March next year, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 43.5%, with a 47.5% chance of no change, and a 9.1% chance of a 50 basis point cut. Yesterday, the crypto market experienced a sharp plunge, with Bitcoin briefly breaking below the key support level of 86,000, and possibly testing the 80,000 level again. Ethereum broke through the stubborn 3,000 mark. Many news and uncertainties will emerge this week, especially the much-hyped small rate hike on the 19th. Therefore, the crypto market may see significant volatility. However, data shows that whales and institutions are still continuously accumulating. Focus on Yibo as we will keep tracking core signals such as the implementation of Fed policies, institutional capital flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time updates on layout strategies and target dynamics.

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Bitcoin rebounded technically after falling back to around 87,508 on Sunday night. Yesterday morning, the rebound momentum was released in full, reaching a high of 89,982 resistance level, then maintained in the high 89,000 range throughout the day, indicating strong profit-taking and bearish pressure near that price. However, market sentiment suddenly shifted at night. Influenced by the US stock plunge, Bitcoin’s price plummeted, with the lowest touching around 85,100. Currently, it is consolidating around 86,000 with narrow fluctuations. Short-term bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war, but the bearish dominance remains unchanged. From a technical perspective, the daily rebound momentum has clearly slowed, as the price failed to stabilize at high levels after consecutive rebounds and instead pulled back, indicating strong resistance above and weakening rebound strength. On smaller timeframes, the trend shows significant weakness, especially on the 4-hour chart: previous rebounds were weak, and after touching the mid-4-hour resistance, it failed to break through, forming a pressure-driven decline. It then broke below the lower support of the 4-hour channel, with candlesticks showing consecutive declines, further reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.

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Ethereum’s recent movement has been highly synchronized with Bitcoin, but with relatively larger fluctuations. Yesterday’s low at around 3,024 became a short-term rebound point, reaching a high of about 3,177 during the rebound. Then, influenced by the US stock plunge, the price rapidly retraced, with the lowest dropping to around 2,892. Currently, it is oscillating around 2,960 with slight rebounds. From the short-term market sentiment, bulls and bears are fiercely battling, and the market has entered a divergence phase with significant disagreement on the outlook. After a quick correction, the price needs some recovery; if support levels hold, a small rebound could occur again. However, from a technical perspective, the bearish trend is more evident: the 4-hour chart shows continuous breakdowns, key supports have been lost, and the technical pattern is damaged, with insufficient rebound momentum. Therefore, the short-term outlook favors a bearish approach, with further retracement possible.

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Currently, the cryptocurrency market is significantly influenced by the US stock market, with a short-term weak trend. Bitcoin and Ethereum are both in correction phases. Short-term operation suggestions are mainly cautious observation, avoiding blindly chasing gains or cutting losses. For bearish positions, wait until a rebound near key resistance levels with clear signs of resistance before entering; for bullish positions, wait until the price stabilizes and shows clear reversal signals, with confirmed rebound momentum before considering entry. Strictly control position risk, set reasonable take-profit and stop-loss points. Additionally, continuously monitor US stock market trends and overall crypto market sentiment changes to adjust operational strategies in a timely manner.