#美联储降息 Technical Analysis: Can BTC and ETH Maintain Support After Short-term Pullback?
Market Overview (Analysis Time: 13:00)
Bitcoin and Ethereum are both facing technical pressure. Recently, Bitcoin failed twice to sustain gains after reaching the 9.45 level on the daily chart and then began to decline. The current price has fallen below multiple daily moving averages, and close attention is needed to see if the support around the 8.95 level at the 4-hour MA120 can hold. If this defensive line at 8.95 fails, there is a risk of further downside in the short term. On the 1-hour chart, the price has already broken below the MA256 at 9.05, which can be seen as the dividing line between bullish and bearish forces in the short term. The market is expected to fluctuate around this level in the near future.
Ethereum is also under significant pressure. From the daily chart, after crossing the MA60, it encountered a pullback and has now retreated back near the daily MA256 at around 3200. This level is crucial as it marks the short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. On the 4-hour cycle, the price has fallen below the MA256 at around 3220. If this level is also lost, the next support is at the 1-hour MA256 at 3080.
Strategy and Recommendations (Updated at 13:00)
Bitcoin Trading Plan: • Consider entering long positions at the 8.95 level • If it drops to 8.8, add to long positions • Target the 9.1–9.2 range • If there is a rebound above 9.1/9.2, consider short positions with an expected profit of 1000–2000 points
Ethereum Trading Plan: • Enter long positions at 3155 • If it pulls back to 3080, it is suitable to add to long positions • Set the upward target at 3200–3250 • If it reaches near 3260/3350, consider shorting with an expected correction of 6–100 points
Recent strategies have been stable with a high success rate. Feel free to share your views below and discuss market trends together. $BTC $ETH $SOL
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HodlKumamon
· 2025-12-14 05:13
熊熊 just calculated the support probability for this wave. If 8.95 cannot hold, then based on the data, we might need to continue probing lower. Feeling a bit anxious, but our dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy will handle it(◍•ᴗ•◍)
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Wait, trying to break through 9.45 twice and failing? Looking at the historical data, this is a very classic pattern of repeatedly testing the top, indicating that the bulls are indeed losing strength.
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[Serious face] According to the trading volume in the past week, the 3200 level is very critical for ETH. Losing it would directly double the risk factor.
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No worries, this kind of adjustment is just a gentle gift to small investors. Bears should continue DCA and hold tight to the little cuties.
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The question is, when will the Federal Reserve actually cut interest rates? It seems this expectation has been floating around, can market sentiment stabilize?
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[Thoughtful Reminder] Currently, the panic index isn't particularly high; in fact, it's a good window for adding to positions. Let’s work together and push through.
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If 8.8 doesn’t hold again, I will double the amount of my fixed investment. Anyway, the first rule of surviving a bear market is to buy when it’s cheap.
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This round of competition looks fierce, but熊熊 thinks that the 9.05 line is the real watershed. We need to pay close attention.
View OriginalReply0
NullWhisperer
· 2025-12-13 20:27
ngl these support levels are getting real thin... 8.95 holding or we're watching a cascade down to 8.8 territory tbh
Reply0
DefiEngineerJack
· 2025-12-12 02:29
nah honestly, those MA120 levels are pretty arbitrary if you ask me. the real question is whether we're seeing actual selling pressure or just algo liquidations tbh. show me the order flow data and then we can talk about "support holding"
Reply0
SmartContractPhobia
· 2025-12-11 05:46
8.95 really can't hold, I have to wait for a rebound before acting again.
View OriginalReply0
LayerHopper
· 2025-12-11 05:26
If I can't hold at 8.95, I'll just directly buy the dip at 8.8. Anyway, that's how I'll play it.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidatedTwice
· 2025-12-11 05:23
Hitting consecutive highs again and failing? Feels like this move is just to cut the leeks.
View OriginalReply0
LazyDevMiner
· 2025-12-11 05:21
8.95 If this line of defense is also lost, I really won't be able to hold on...
#美联储降息 Technical Analysis: Can BTC and ETH Maintain Support After Short-term Pullback?
Market Overview (Analysis Time: 13:00)
Bitcoin and Ethereum are both facing technical pressure. Recently, Bitcoin failed twice to sustain gains after reaching the 9.45 level on the daily chart and then began to decline. The current price has fallen below multiple daily moving averages, and close attention is needed to see if the support around the 8.95 level at the 4-hour MA120 can hold. If this defensive line at 8.95 fails, there is a risk of further downside in the short term. On the 1-hour chart, the price has already broken below the MA256 at 9.05, which can be seen as the dividing line between bullish and bearish forces in the short term. The market is expected to fluctuate around this level in the near future.
Ethereum is also under significant pressure. From the daily chart, after crossing the MA60, it encountered a pullback and has now retreated back near the daily MA256 at around 3200. This level is crucial as it marks the short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. On the 4-hour cycle, the price has fallen below the MA256 at around 3220. If this level is also lost, the next support is at the 1-hour MA256 at 3080.
Strategy and Recommendations (Updated at 13:00)
Bitcoin Trading Plan:
• Consider entering long positions at the 8.95 level
• If it drops to 8.8, add to long positions
• Target the 9.1–9.2 range
• If there is a rebound above 9.1/9.2, consider short positions with an expected profit of 1000–2000 points
Ethereum Trading Plan:
• Enter long positions at 3155
• If it pulls back to 3080, it is suitable to add to long positions
• Set the upward target at 3200–3250
• If it reaches near 3260/3350, consider shorting with an expected correction of 6–100 points
Recent strategies have been stable with a high success rate. Feel free to share your views below and discuss market trends together. $BTC $ETH $SOL