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The Federal Reserve's internal "powder keg" has already been ignited
A recent phenomenon is worth reflection: after three consecutive rate cuts, the internal voices within the Federal Reserve are becoming increasingly inconsistent. According to the latest information leaked by the "mouthpiece," officials are beginning to dust off a term that has been dormant for 50 years—stagflation.
How significant is this term? Looking back at the last time it appeared, you’ll understand. In the 1970s, the economy faced a deadly ailment—inflation and recession occurring simultaneously—when policymakers were also at a loss.
Why is this more frightening than mere bearish signals? Because it indicates a fundamental split among top-tier economic decision-makers regarding the current situation. No one's interpretation is correct because "they" haven't even decided. In such a scenario, the market fears not clear bad news but rather this haze and uncertainty.
For crypto assets, the impact will be very direct. The old logic of "policy easing = rising prices" has already started to fail. What has taken its place? Intense volatility and emotion-driven overreactions. Any piece of news or data can be amplified infinitely, creating false rebounds or panic.
The story of Bitcoin may be quietly changing. From the narrative of "digital gold," it is gradually evolving into "a safe haven in turbulent times." In an era where certainty disappears, certainty itself becomes the most scarce commodity.
Rather than guessing various viewpoints, it’s better to focus on risk management—ensuring you can survive any sharp fluctuations in any direction.