2025-12-10 02:30:08

Will 2025 bring UFO file declassification? Here's where the prediction market stands:

Current consensus sits at 86.758% – that's roughly 14.39M tokens backing this outcome against a total pool of 16.58M. The threshold's clear: you need at least 16.6M tokens voting one way to lock in the result. Pretty straightforward mechanism – majority rules, but only when enough skin's in the game.

The math tells the story: we're nearly there on volume, but the split keeps this one open for now.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
4
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

BearMarketSurvivor

· 2025-12-11 11:24

UFO Files? So many people are betting, but it's only 86%, still a bit away from full capacity. Some people don't believe it. If the 2025 declassification actually happens, why are there so many skeptics? It shows that everyone is unsure. There aren't many who are truly willing to go all-in. It seems that with UFO, everyone is betting on psychology rather than facts. The threshold of 16.6 million tokens is a bit steep; retail investors simply can't gather that much.

View OriginalReply0

ImpermanentPhilosopher

· 2025-12-10 02:58

Damn, 86% of the consensus is still 4.1 million tokens short? Do these people really want to see UFO archives or just want to gamble money? A group of gamblers are playing numbers here, what is the real truth? Locked in a basement somewhere This prediction market is outrageous, it feels like it's following the trend of speculating on the concept, and no one really believes that UFOs will be made public Majority decision? Funny, isn't this a chaebol game, throwing money can determine the truth I feel that nothing will be made public in 2025, and everyone should forget about it as soon as the topic is hot

View OriginalReply0

FrogInTheWell

· 2025-12-10 02:35

86.758% is just ridiculous. Do these people really believe UFOs will be disclosed? In my opinion, this is just a gambler's game—the side with more tokens wins. Almost locked in? Just wait to get proven wrong. Government files aren't that easy to crack. I'm not joining this bet. All the tokens are thrown into this, just to bet on UFOs... This prediction market is just a game of musical chairs. I advise everyone not to play.

View OriginalReply0

LeverageAddict

· 2025-12-10 02:33

Want to lock it in at 86.76%? These people really dare to gamble. The UFO files declassification could flip any day. --- Still a bit short of the 16.6 million threshold. Someone must be sniping quietly. I’ll bet five bucks. --- Prediction markets are all about who has more chips. It has nothing to do with the truth. --- Wait, does this data mean there’s still no conclusion? The people going all in now are going to take a huge loss. --- About the UFO files, I think it’s unlikely this year. It all depends on whether a big whale wants to throw money in.

View OriginalReply0