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#美联储降息预测
This 25BP rate cut is almost a done deal, and the market has already priced in most of it. After the decision is announced, we expect a "good news realized, brief rebound" scenario. Strengthened expectations of liquidity easing will provide more medium-term support to risk assets (especially the crypto market) than short-term shocks.
Trading strategies:
1. Short-term: If there is a rapid surge after the decision, do not chase the top; be wary of profit-taking. Watch if BTC/ETH can hold key resistance levels.
2. Medium-term: Once the rate cut cycle is confirmed, any pullback is a buying opportunity. Prioritize active ecosystem assets like ETH and SOL.
3. Hedging: Consider a small allocation to gold-related assets (such as PAXG) to hedge against possible USD volatility after the rate cut.
In the early stage of a liquidity shift, market volatility often increases. Maintaining position flexibility is more important than directional judgment.