#ETH价格走势解读 Holders of $BTC and $ETH, fren, pay attention. Unusual signals are coming from the Fed.

A recent report by journalist Nick Timiraos, dubbed the "Fed's mouthpiece," shows that Powell's core allies are advocating for a rate cut in December. The amount of information revealed in this article is quite substantial — the internal divisions within the Fed have become so severe that they are rare, and the chairman may have to rely on personal authority to push decisions.

The article breaks down into three key points:

First, decision-making power is centralized. Reports emphasize that the final decision rests with Powell, who must bear the intense internal opposition. This is not the usual committee consensus; it reflects the personal will of the chairman.

Secondly, route selection. Nick pointed out two options: Option A is to lower in December, stabilizing market sentiment and employment data, at the cost of facing internal criticism; Option B is to delay until January next year, avoiding responsibility but the market may crash prematurely.

Third, allies have expressed their positions. The head of the New York Fed stated that there is room for interest rate cuts in the near term, while the San Francisco Fed directly supports action in December. These statements basically imply: the chair makes the calls.

The market reaction was quite direct. The probability of interest rate cuts surged to 82%, BTC broke through $89,500, and the amount of short liquidations in a single day exceeded $500 million.

Operational suggestions: Those who have already entered can set a trailing take profit and consider reducing positions if it falls below 88000; those who are waiting can gradually build positions in the 87500-88500 range during a pullback, with a priority allocation to $BTC and $ETH spot. In addition, be sure to avoid high leverage operations and keep at least 30% cash on hand to cope with volatility.

Policy shifts are often the fuel for market trends. Historical experience tells us: enter the market during divergence and retreat during consensus. Do you think Powell can withstand the pressure and push for a rate cut in December?