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Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Friday, October 3, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends ☀️ hardcore fan daily attendance 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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U.S. stocks closed slightly higher on Thursday, with the Dow Jones initially up 0.17%, the S&P 500 rising 0.06%, and the Nasdaq increasing by 0.39%. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is 2.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 97.3%. The probability of the Fed maintaining interest rates in December is 0.2%, with the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 8.8% and a 50 basis point cut at 91.1%. Due to the temporary government shutdown, the initial unemployment claims data was not released last night, and there is uncertainty whether the non-farm payroll data, which is also handled by the Labor Department, will be released as scheduled today. However, these factors do not affect the rise in coin prices. Bitcoin surged to over $120,000 in the early hours, marking its highest level since August. Since the beginning of this week, the largest crypto asset has risen more than 7%. The market is closely watching the performance in the fourth quarter, as historically, October has been one of the strongest months for Bitcoin, with an average return of 21%. It remains to be seen whether the current upward trend in the market can continue into the last quarter. Stay tuned to Yibo for timely updates.
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The intraday rebound of Bitcoin continues, with the price breaking through the 120,000 resistance area, opening up space above. The price has reached around 120,974 and is facing pressure, entering a slight consolidation. Various indicators show that support is slowly moving up. If it can stabilize around the 120,000 line, the expected increase will continue, and one can follow up with long positions. In the short term, there is a breakout upward, and bullish sentiment is strong. The intraday strategy is clear: continue to maintain a bullish rhythm, with the core operational idea being "follow up on long positions after a pullback stops," while making good defenses to boldly layout.
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Ethereum reached a maximum of 4500 in the early morning, breaking through the resistance area, with a peak test at 4515 before falling back. The upward space in this round has been fully released, and it is highly likely to enter a "meandering oscillation" stage—where the volatility base will widen, presenting the characteristic of "turning back after each step," meaning after reaching a new high, it will be accompanied by oscillation and pullbacks, forming a local high and fall trend. Overall, it will still maintain a slow rise recovery rhythm with small step oscillations. For the current bullish trend, the core logic is "there is no highest, only higher," and one must not underestimate the bullish momentum simply because of the large increase.