Monday, September 29, 2025

BTC trend analysis

Cycle reference
Trend direction, structure description
Long-term trends of daily and weekly charts (spot reference)
Bearish fluctuations
6-hour trend
Bearish volatility
Hourly chart (intraday contract)
Short-term strong bullish
Support
110700、107400
pressure
113200、116000

Key Points:
As shown in the figure, BTC has recently dropped from the high point on September 18 to the low point on September 26. The previous two days also emphasized that this position is close to the low point of the end of last month and the beginning of this month. If there is no major negative news, it is not easy to decline further. Finally, after nearly three days of low-level fluctuations over the weekend, it broke the stalemate and began to rise last night. From a short-term perspective, the bulls are strong, so there is still room for short-term upward movement. Refer to 110700 as a short-term support level with a bullish outlook, but pay attention to the significant structure, referencing 113200 as resistance, though the medium-term still leans bearish.

BTC 6-hour price chart and ETH trend analysis

cycle reference
Trend direction, structural description
Long-term trends of daily and weekly lines (Spot reference)
Bearish oscillation
6-Hour Trend
Bearish Fluctuation
Hourly chart (intraday contracts)
Strong rebound
Support
4020、3900、3580
Pressure
4140、4280

Key Points:
As shown in the figure, ETH is strengthening along with BTC in the short term, but unlike BTC, it has previously broken through the high-level consolidation area of nearly two months. Therefore, even if there is a strong rebound in the short term, the pressure above cannot be ignored. In terms of operation, refer to the short support of 4020; if it holds, the bias is bullish, and the uptrend of bulls may continue. However, pay attention to the fact that the early high point, as shown in the figure, has also reached the dense consolidation area from September 22 to 25. The difficulty of continuing to break upwards is also relatively high. Even if the pressure at 4140 is broken, it will be difficult to continuously break through 4280. Additionally, it is generally a Monday morning where multiple factors interfere, leading to greater randomness, so it is recommended to operate with caution and light positions.

ETH 6-Hour Price Chart