9.15

On September 18 (2:00), the Federal Reserve will announce the new interest rate decision, and Powell will hold a press conference.

BTC
After reminding everyone of the short-term risks yesterday, there was a small pullback. This week is very important as there will be a rate decision on the evening of the 17th. I have been emphasizing this year’s market is a policy-driven bull market, so for you, the first step is to understand the policy, then the data and ETFs, and finally the technical aspects. From a technical perspective, at the current position, if the interest rate is cut by 25 basis points, it may have a downward impact on the market. If it’s cut by 50 basis points, it may go directly upwards. However, I personally believe the probability of that is not very high. From a technical standpoint, whether at the weekly or daily level, the trend is upward, it's just that the smaller levels need to adjust and repair. This week’s first half may mainly be dominated by fluctuations, and the second half will focus on directional adjustments. At this position, it's crucial to pay attention to whether the 113400 level can be broken. If it doesn't break, we still look for upward movement, but the resistance faced is relatively strong, in the range of 117300 to 122000. If it doesn't break, there will likely be a downward retracement before adjusting direction again. Therefore, summarizing for the day, we will first oscillate in the range of 113400 to 117200, with support at 113400-110000-107200 and resistance at 117200-119400-122000.

ETH
The recent trend of Ethereum is stronger than the overall market, but the current position is getting closer to the high point, facing relatively large resistance. The strategy for Ethereum is similar to that of Bitcoin; in the next couple of days, pay attention to whether the level of 4485 can be broken. If it doesn't break, it will still look upward, so the focus for the day remains on oscillation. First, pay attention to whether the upper level of 4754 can be broken; if it doesn't break, there will be oscillation. Support levels are 4565-4485-4372, and resistance levels are 4660-4754-4830.

SOL
Sol made a high adjustment yesterday and experienced a pullback. Now at this position, it needs to repair the four-hour level, with a key focus on whether it can break the position at 236. If it doesn't break, it will oscillate and repair at this position before continuing upwards. If it breaks, pay close attention to 229, with support at 236-229 and resistance at 250-262.