This is my assessment of the crypto and US stock market economic cycles given by Fable5 through historical cycles. It is not investment advice, but I hope it helps you.

$BTC Signal | 1H buy order gap + 4H bearish bias, short-term short game
$BTC 1H buy order density drops sharply, depth imbalance -78.99%, with sell-side orders far exceeding the buy side. The 4H MACD histogram bars keep shrinking, and rebounds lack strength. Price is stuck between EMA20 and EMA50, repeatedly rubbing back and forth, with no funds for a proactive push.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry/limit order: 63976.100
🛑Stop loss: 64615.861
🚀Target 1: 63016.459
🚀Target 2: 62536.638
🛡️Trade management:
- Strategy: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop loss up to

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7.29 Morning Market Outlook
After consolidating from the high point and then drifting steadily lower, the earlier short (sell) trend has been fully realized. After probing down to the 62,680 low last night, a rebound and corrective repair followed. This rebound is still a repair phase; the key resistance overhead remains, and the sustained strength of the bulls is yet to be tested.
On the 15-minute cycle, the market is currently oscillating and moving upward in a corrective repair. This is merely a rebound buffer after the sell-off, and it has not yet fully overturned the prior large bearish s

July 29 strategy plan—priority order, fan-only
Operation priority ranking
Priority 1: 1907–1911 stabilization, go long
This is the best value low-buy zone of the day. The stop-loss is clear, and the upward room is relatively good.
Priority 2: 1928–1931 spike, then short if it fails
Near the intraday high, suitable for short-term trading on a pullback, but you must strictly set a stop-loss.
Priority 3: 1916–1918 lightly enter for a long
Suitable for aggressive short-term trades. Win rate depends on a 5-minute stabilization. Not suitable for heavy positions.
Priority 4: after breaking below 1907

JUST IN: US banking associations urge Senate to tighten CLARITY Act 10404 on stablecoins, pushing for stricter limits to rewards/interest, warning deposits funding local loans could be at risk. $BTC $ETH

$SOL Signal: short-term sell single; 1H top divergence + funding rate elevated
$SOL 1H MACD top divergence confirmed. RSI fell from 70 to 49, and the depth of buy-side resting orders shrank significantly. On the 4H Bollinger middle band, 74.86 acts as effective resistance. After the price touched the middle band twice in succession, it pulled back; sell-side orders actively lowered their quotes. OI remains stable, but the rate rose to 0.002%, increasing short positions’ cost and creating short-term selling pressure with inertia.
🎯 Direction: short
⚡ Entry / place orders: 73.6982 - 73.9200
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7.29 Morning BTC/ETH Market Analysis — Shiyuan’s View
BTC has continued to fall from the high point of 66,924. After hitting a low of 62,660, it then saw a low-level rebound to repair.
In the short term, this is a technical rebound after a big drop. There is a large amount of trapped-supply overhead pressure, so the rebound room is limited. Do not blindly chase longs. Under a choppy-ranging pattern, wait patiently to operate around key zones.
BTC
Resistance: 64,300, 64,800
Support: 63,300, 62,600
Recommendations:
Set short orders in the rebound 64,300–64,800 range, defend at 65,200. First targ

$ETH USDT Ethereum Morning Brief: Low-level rebound repairs, clear resistance range overhead, consolidation awaits direction
Market Update: The market continues to weigh expectations of a U.S. rate cut, while policy expectations for the “CLEAR Act” keep gaining momentum, providing sentiment support for major coins. At present, the overall market is in range-bound volatility; incremental capital is limited. Ethereum’s rebound strength is somewhat constrained, making it difficult in the short term to break out into a one-way bullish trend. There is also heavy pressure from trapped positions overh

When I thought this round was completely hopeless, the market suddenly delivered a neat reversal. When I opened the chart in the morning, $ZEC was still hovering back and forth at high levels. Many people were drawn in by that little bounce, but I noticed the sell pressure never really disappeared—once the price went up, nobody truly stepped in to hold it.
When the market was grinding at the top during the session, I compared it with ZEC for a few rounds—the rally became weaker and weaker, and the trading volume didn’t keep up, with a strong feel of a long-setup trap. So I waited until around

$DEXE Keep the long positions, it’s basically at the bottom.

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No hype, no bias—after these results came out, I went back and reread everything myself. The chart kept repeatedly battering at high levels, but every time it surged up, there was a lack of follow-through. What really made me commit, though, was that the key level above never got effectively digested.
Shorts were initiated around 0.15696. After the price pulled back to 0.1396, the pace clearly shifted downward, and the +218.02% feedback also shows this call didn’t deviate. During the process, I didn’t rush to chase—I was mainly waiting for the rebound strength to be confirmed.
The more the mar

Core Scientific Cuts Block Deal at $41.9M Loss, Bets on AMD Leases - - #bitcoin #mining

7.29 Gold early session market observations
In the Asian market early session, gold prices continue the weakness from the previous night. The current price is around 4020, trading in a narrow range at low levels. The market is pricing a more hawkish interest-rate outlook in advance: US Treasury yields and the dollar remain at elevated levels. With less appeal for non-yielding precious metals allocations, and as geopolitical safe-haven demand cools off, longs are taking profit and exiting in clusters after building up at higher levels. A bearish structure is confirmed in the short term as the d

I’ve seen too many people learn all kinds of strategies—profit briefly, then give it all back.
The root cause is simple: they know the methods, but lack discipline.
When the market is favorable, they let their guard down; when it’s against them, they hold onto wishful thinking. Every trade sways with emotion.

Our 100U standardized full-position system essentially builds discipline:
Don’t try to subjectively predict the market—look for opportunities by relying on market structure, use the Kelly formula to control capital, stick to a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, and standardize every trading action.

$ZHIPU Never touch it! In the past 24 hours it has dropped by almost 15%—from 162 straight down to 128. The trading volume is only $44 million, and the sell pressure hasn’t been fully released yet. Retail “buyers” stepping in are basically handing out headshots. Current price is 136.55—does it look cheap? Don’t rush. This coin has clear signs of tight control by the market maker: the amplitude is over 26%, yet nobody’s done a real rebound. This is a typical distribution/exit chart. The only kind of people who can survive are those who react fast and keep their position light. If you want to p

The Final Chapter of the Bitcoin Bear Market: A Data-Driven Breakdown
【Plain-Language Intro】On-chain data indicates that Bitcoin has entered the late stage of the bear market. The historical high concentration of holdings among long-term holders reached 84%, and the near end of short-term capitulation shows the market is shifting from “pain” to “accumulation.”
Although a bottoming framework is starting to take shape, key momentum and institutional capital flows have not yet broken through resistance; in the short term, downside risk still needs to be watched closely, and a full recovery will t