$ETH USDT Ethereum Morning Brief: Low-level rebound repairs, clear resistance range overhead, consolidation awaits direction

Market Update: The market continues to weigh expectations of a U.S. rate cut, while policy expectations for the “CLEAR Act” keep gaining momentum, providing sentiment support for major coins. At present, the overall market is in range-bound volatility; incremental capital is limited. Ethereum’s rebound strength is somewhat constrained, making it difficult in the short term to break out into a one-way bullish trend. There is also heavy pressure from trapped positions overhead.

Technical Analysis: Current price at the four-hour level is 1922.22. Price began its repair rebound from the low at 1844.94.

Moving Average Structure: The current price 1922.22 is slightly below EMA7 (1914.18), but remains above it, forming short-term support. EMA21 = 1909.09 and EMA55 = 1895.71 form a support band below. The strong resistance zone is 1972–1980, where sell pressure from the prior high is concentrated.

MACD Indicator: DIF 5.21, DEA 5.56, MACD value -0.34. The indicator is about to form a dead cross; bullish rebound momentum is gradually converging.

Short-term support below: 1909. Key support: 1895. Extreme support: 1854.

Trading Ideas
🟢 Long Strategy (short-term rebound play, range-bound repair move, not a trend-following long)
Plan 1｜Pullback to support for steady low-long
Entry range: 1895 — 1909
Entry confirmation: 4-hour K-line volume contraction followed by a stop of the selloff, and a long lower wick closes
Stop loss: A confirmed drop below 1888
First target: 1946
Second target: 1972
Trading reminder: Only play the range-bound rebound. Take profit in batches when targets are hit; do not hold the long position long-term.

Plan 2｜Breakout chase long (aggressive)
Entry condition: 4-hour body holds above 1972
Stop loss: Below 1955
First target: 1980
Second target: 1996

🔴 Short Strategy (for the current range-bound market, prioritize shorting highs)
Plan 1｜Pullback to resistance zone for short (preferred)
Entry range: 1972 — 1980
Entry confirmation: 4-hour rebound stalls, closes with a long upper wick; bulls fail to push higher
Stop loss: A body breakout above 1996
First target: 1922
Second target: 1909

Plan 2｜Breakdown follow-through short
Entry condition: 4-hour K-line body effectively breaks below 1895 and closes below it
Stop loss: Above 1910
First target: 1854
Second target: 1844

⚠️ The broader market oscillates repeatedly; needle/spike risk is high. All positions must strictly set stop losses; do not heavily weight bets on one-way trading.
(This article shares trading ideas only and does not constitute any investment advice)
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