#ETH 📌 Key short-term trading signals

4-hour MACD: Still below the zero line, but the fast and slow lines are converging, and a short-term rebound is possible.
RSI (4H): 38 (not oversold, but close to the support zone).
Trading volume: It surged when it dropped below $3,600 yesterday, but this morning it rebounded with reduced volume.
Funding rate: -0.012% (short-term favored, but not extremely bearish).
🎯 Short-term trading opportunities (1-4 hour cycle)
1. Oversold rebound strategy (buy low)
📈 Long Position Conditions:
ETH retracement $3,550-3,580 (100-day moving average support).
4-hour RSI < 30 (oversold signal) + MACD green bars narrowing.
If a long lower shadow appears on the 5-minute candlestick (pin bar reversal signal).
🎯 Goal:
$3,620 → $3,660 (short-term resistance).
Breaking through $3,660 can see $3,700 (requires volume).
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,530 (below support).
2. Short on rebound resistance (high short)
📉 Shorting conditions:
ETH rebounded to $3,620-3,660 but did not break through with volume.
4-hour RSI > 60 (overbought) + MACD red bars widening.
If the 5-minute candlestick shows a long upper shadow (false breakout signal).
🎯 Target:
$3,580 → $3,550 (support level).
If it drops below $3,550, watch for $3,500 (confirmation of volume needed).
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,700 (breakthrough the previous high).
3. Breakthrough Follow-up Strategy (Trend Following)
🚀 Breakout to go long (needs volume):
Break through $3,660 (50-day moving average) + trading volume increased by 20%.
Target $3,720 → $3,750.
Stop-loss $3,620 (pullback confirmation failed).
📉 Break below and short (confirmation needed):
Dropped below $3,550 (100-day moving average) + funding rate turned negative.
Target $3,500 → $3,450.
Stop loss $3,580 (back above support).
⚠ Short-term risk control points
Avoid chasing the market: The current market is highly volatile, wait for key levels to be confirmed before entering.
Leverage suggestion ≤5x: ETH has been experiencing frequent spikes recently, high leverage is prone to liquidation.
Pay attention to non-farm payroll data (20:30): If the data exceeds expectations, it may trigger significant volatility.
📌 Today's Best Short-Term Opportunities
Conservative: Wait for a low buy at $3,550-3,580, target $3,660, stop loss $3,530.
Aggressive: If the rebound meets resistance at $3,650, you can short it to $3,580, with a stop loss at $3,700.
Breakout Follow: If there is a significant breakout above $3,660 or a drop below $3,550, you can follow the trend to enter a position.
Summary: ETH short-term is oscillating with a bearish bias, but there may be a rebound near the key support level. The best strategy is to sell high and buy low + strict stop-loss, avoiding heavy positions before data release.