▎Trading strategy for Ethereum (ETH) based on market dynamics and technical analysis

Considering the latest market data from April 25, 2025, and the current quotes of Ethereum (ETH), as well as an analysis of macroeconomic factors, the following trading strategy is proposed.

▎Main strategies and entry points

1. Breakthrough for purchase

• Entry conditions: If the price stabilizes at the level of $1,750 ( closing April 23 ) and the trading volume at the hourly level increases, confirming the golden cross of the MACD.

• Goal: Short-term perspective — reaching the level of 1,800-1,830 dollars ( resistance zone of the previous maximum). After the breakout, the target mark is 1,850 dollars ( upper boundary of the weekly Bollinger Bands).

• Stop-loss: Dynamically moves below $1,730 to protect profits.

2. Support for bounce on purchase

• Entry conditions: A pullback and price stabilization is expected in the range of 1,720-1,730 dollars (support 4-hour EMA30), with RSI being oversold (<30) or a divergence signal.

• Goal: Retracement to $1,750-$1,780 with gradual profit taking after the breakout.

• Stop-loss: Set below $1,700, risk is controlled within 3%.

3. Resistance Level for Shorts

• Entry conditions: If the price retraces to $1,800-$1,820 and encounters resistance, a dead cross of the KDJ appears on the 1-hour chart or a long upper shadow.

• Target: Pullback to $1,750-$1,760 with a break below $1,720.

• Stop-loss: Set above $1,830 to prevent the risk of a false breakout.

▎Market risks and interconnections

• Technical pressure: The formation of a double top at the level of $1,830 may trigger a pullback if it fails to break above.

• Correlation with BTC: A breakout by Bitcoin above the resistance at $95,000 could push ETH higher; a drop below $92,000 could negatively impact ETH.

• Political factors: Increased confidence in Trump's cryptocurrency reserves may support the market. However, expectations of a decrease in the Federal Reserve's interest rates may limit risk appetite.

• Blockchain risks: The approaching price of ETH to the pain level for options at $1,750 could lead to liquidations of over $120 million if it falls below $1,720.

▎Position and Risk Management

• Overall position: No more than 50%, single leverage ≤3-5 times; avoid large bets.

• Stop-loss discipline: Strictly set a stop-loss when ETH falls below $1,700 or BTC falls below $92,000.

• Funding plan: In case of a sharp drop below $1,680, reserve 30% of funds for phased entry on a technical rebound.

▎Resume

Currently, ETH is fluctuating in the range of $1,720 to $1,830. The main strategy for the day will be the breakout strategy. If the price holds at $1,750, one can increase the position; in the case of a false breakout, it is worth considering a short position. Pay close attention to the formation of a double top at $1,830 and the correlation with BTC. Strictly set stop-losses and avoid buying at the peak and selling at the bottom.

▎Additional recommendations

Recently, the price of ETH has been showing consolidation with a weakening of the upward momentum. A short-term fluctuation between the middle and upper Bollinger Bands is expected. In this regard, the following trading recommendations are suggested:

• Bitcoin: Target range — $94300-$93800 with a target of $92800-$91800 and a stop at $94500.

• Ethereum: Target range — 1800-1780 dollars with a target of 1700-1650 dollars and protection at the level of 1820 dollars.

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