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#幣圈賺錢很容易, the message plane is important
You don't want to analyze! I'll help you analyze!
If I analyze it well for you and you are too lazy to look, then if you lose money, it is what you deserve!
Without further ado
🗞️Comprehensive Analysis of Major News (April 9, 2025)
1️⃣ Trump's new tariff policy against China officially takes effect.
➤ Bitcoin, Ethereum Dip as Trump's Tariffs on China Take Effect
Impact: Increasing tensions in US-China trade have heightened market risk aversion, causing both US stocks and crypto assets to face pressure simultaneously, with a liquidation scale reaching as high as $411M within 24 hours, exacerbating market panic.
2️⃣ Kaspersky Exposes SourceForge Crypto Wallet Malware
➤ Malware Swaps Wallet Addresses to Steal Crypto
Impact: Users' cybersecurity awareness increases, and some retail investors may choose to exit the market, which will exacerbate the decline in BTC liquidity and shake confidence in the short term.
3️⃣ Meta's alleged assistance to China's AI military development has attracted congressional attention
➤ Meta Accused of Assisting China’s AI
Impact: Technology stocks and risk assets are under pressure across the board, and the crypto market is once again included in the systemic risk circle.
4️⃣ Dogecoin launched an ETF, but the market reaction was lukewarm.
➤ 21Shares DOGE ETP Launches in Switzerland
Impact: Retail enthusiasm declines, mainstream coins still dominate capital flow, and the short-term bullish effect on BTC is not obvious.
5️⃣ XRP potential surge forecast, but limited to positive factors before the end of the year
➤ Standard Chartered: XRP may rise by 200%
Impact: Limited connection with BTC, but the reverse push of funds away from other underlying BTC prices may still occur.
✅Summary of Views
🔻The news is bearish
🧨The macroeconomic environment risk increases (geopolitics, cybersecurity, and the cooling of ETF enthusiasm)
📉 Combined with "Extreme Fear" (Fear and Greed Index 18) and the market technical structure, this bearish trend still has extensibility and rationality.
🚩Strategy Analysis:
Technical Structure: BTC has currently rebounded from a high to the lower edge of the previous supply zone (76,800~77,200), and the structure has not yet reversed.
The news and sentiment are highly consistent: the market is fully risk-averse, fear is at its peak, and retail investors still lack confidence to enter.
Smart money trends are still bearish, and there are no signs of whales significantly flipping to bullish.
The pressure above the order book is dense, the buy order below is weak, it is easy to break the support, and it is not easy to burst the pressure
📌 Conclusion: Carrying out a left-side rebound short position layout is the optimal solution at present.
⚠️ Note:
Do not chase the short! You need to rebound into the supply zone before entering the market to place a left-side order ✅